Daniel Altmaier and Alexander Bublik will face off in the semifinal of the Turin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Altmaier who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Altmaier is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Altmaier -> 1.62
Alexander Bublik -> 2.18

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Altmaier vs. Alexander Bublik

There is no head to head record between Daniel Altmaier and Alexander Bublik since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Daniel Altmaier

Daniel Altmaier

20 - 18win/loss

Hard
5-8
I Hard
5-4
Clay
10-6
Rank
46
High
46
LWWLWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-35 11-16 13-8 9-8 1-3 0-0
2024 30-34 5-9 19-20 5-4 1-1 0-0
2023 32-31 8-13 21-10 2-5 1-3 0-0
2022 34-31 10-14 22-12 0-1 2-4 0-0
2021 49-27 7-3 36-20 5-2 1-2 0-0

Ranked no. 71, the German reached the semifinal after beating Andrea Pellegrino 6-3 6-4, Juan Manuel Cerundolo 6-3 6-2 and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 7-5.

In the quarter, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 7-5). During the match, Altmaier scored 96 points vs Cobolli’s 80. Daniel was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about the service games, Altmaier bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Altmaier lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Altmaier put 51% of his first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (21/35) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Cobolli 4 times after converting 18% of his break points (4/22).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The German hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.

Altmaier has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (364-229). 10-5 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Altmaier has a compiled 172-102 record in the last years on clay.

Daniel has a compiled 20-17 win-loss record in 2025, 10-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Turin Challenger

Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.

Turin Challenger
Altmaier's Record

Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik

17 - 14win/loss

Hard
5-7
I Hard
2-3
Clay
10-4
Rank
11
High
11
LLWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 48-24 12-11 23-6 8-6 5-1 0-0
2024 25-25 10-11 5-6 6-4 4-4 0-0
2023 28-30 3-12 7-9 9-7 9-2 0-0
2022 33-27 5-8 2-6 17-8 9-5 0-0
2021 35-30 14-12 4-6 10-8 7-4 0-0

Ranked no. 76, the Kazakhstani got to the semifinal after beating Matteo Gigante 6-3 6-1, Federico Arnaboldi 0-6 6-3 6-3 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-2 3-6 7-5.

In the quarter, Bublik defeated Etcheverry (6-2 3-6 7-5). During the match Bublik scored 90 points vs Etcheverry’s 86. Bublik was quite aggressive to blast 39 winners.

About the serving games, Bublik recorded 11 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Bublik lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 60% of his first serves in, winning 72% (39/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (17/36) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Etcheverry 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Bublik’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Phoenix Challenger.

Alexander has a compiled 16-14 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Turin Challenger
Bublik's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Altmaier
A.Bublik
4h:30
4h:30
Time on court​
4h:37
4h:37
!
2h:02
2h:02
Last match​
!
2h:02
2h:02
3
3
Match played
3
3
57
57
Games Played​
69
69
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
220
220
Total points​
229
229
73.3
73.3
Avg point​
76.3
76.3
78
78
Winners
98
98
26
26
Avg Winners​
32.7
32.7
35%
35%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
19
19
Aces
25
25
6.3
6.3
Avg Aces
8.3
8.3
4
4
Double Faults
11
11
1.3
1.3
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
78/100
78/100
1st won total​
98/125
98/125
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
44/72
44/72
2nd won total​
36/75
36/75
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
10/40
10/40
BP won
11/24
11/24
3.3/13.3
3.3/13.3
Avg BP won
3.7/8
3.7/8
!
25%
25%
Won
46%
46%
10
10
Conceded
13
13
3.3
3.3
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
3
3
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
7
7
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Altmaier Bublik
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 57 69
Pts 220-169 229-192
Total Points 389 421
Winners 78 98
%Winners 35% 43%

Both Altmaier and Bublik played 3 matches. At the moment, Alexander Bublik dropped 2 sets while Daniel Altmaier hasn’t dropped a set so far. Altmaier has played 2 set(s) less than Bublik (6 vs 8). Therefore, Altmaier played 12 games less than Bublik. Altmaier scored 78 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander made 98 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Altmaier Bublik
Aces 19 25
Avg per match 6.3 8.3
1st in 100/172 125/200
%1st in 58% 63%
1st pts 78/100 98/125
%1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 44/72 36/75
%2nd pts 61% 48%

Altmaier scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Bublik made 25 aces (8.3 per match). Altmaier won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Altmaier Bublik
Won 10 11
Converted 10/40 11/24
% Converted 25% 46%
Conceded 10 13
Saved 7 7
% Saved 70% 54%
Times Broken 3 6

The German broke his opponents 10 times with a 25% conversion rate. Altmaier lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Bublik conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded.

Altmaier
R1
Pellegrino
R2
Manuel
1/4
Cobolli
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-3 6-2 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 19 17 21 57
pts 62-43 62-46 96-80 220-169
Total points 105 108 176 389
Winners 24 30 24 78
%Winners 39% 48% 25% 35%
SERVE
Aces 7 6 6 19
Double Faults 0 2 2 4
1st in 29/45 35/56 36/71 100/172
% 1st in 64% 63% 51% 58%
1st pts 24/29 30/35 24/36 78/100
% 1st pts 83% 86% 67% 78%
2nd pts 13/16 10/21 21/35 44/72
% 2nd pts 81% 48% 60% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 3 4 10
Converted 3/11 3/7 4/22 10/40
Converted % 27% 43% 18% 25%
Conceded 1 2 7 10
Saved 0/1 2/2 5/7 7
Saved % 0% 100% 71% 57%
Times Broken 1 0 2 3
Bublik
R1
Gigante
R2
Arnaboldi
1/4
Etcheverry
Total
Score 6-3 6-1 0-6 6-3 6-3 6-2 3-6 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 16 24 29 69
pts 60-38 79-68 90-86 229-192
Total points 98 147 176 421
Winners 29 30 39 98
%Winners 48% 38% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 9 11 25
Double Faults 2 3 6 11
1st in 34/48 37/62 54/90 125/200
% 1st in 71% 60% 60% 63%
1st pts 29/34 30/37 39/54 98/125
% 1st pts 85% 81% 72% 78%
2nd pts 6/14 13/25 17/36 36/75
% 2nd pts 43% 52% 47% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 11
Converted 4/5 3/11 4/8 11/24
Converted % 80% 27% 50% 46%
Conceded 1 5 7 13
Saved 1/1 2/5 4/7 7
Saved % 100% 40% 57% 66%
Times Broken 0 3 3 6

Tennis Scores in Turin Challenger

  • Alexander BublikBublikTomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-2 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
  • Vasil Kirkov/Bart StevensKirkov/Bart StevensJakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner (6-4 2-6 12-10) – See score progression
  • Daniel AltmaierAltmaierFlavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Bu YunchaoketeYunchaoketeFrancesco PassaroPassaro (5-5 ret.) – See score progression
  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliChun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (1-6 7-62 6-1) – See score progression
  • Robin Haase/Hendrik JebensHaase/Hendrik JebensFernando Romboli/John-Patrick SmithRomboli/John-Patrick Smith (6-4 7-61) – See score progression
  • Alexander BublikBublikTomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-2 3-6 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw