Mitchell Krueger and Cristian Garin will play each other in the final of the Oeiras 5 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.33
Mitchell Krueger -> 3.1

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Prediction and head to head Mitchell Krueger vs. Cristian Garin

This will be the 2^nd time that Mitchell Krueger and Cristian Garin fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Garin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Garin won 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the 2^nd round in the Lyon Challenger back in 2018.

Mitchell Krueger

Ranked no. 151, the American got to the final after beating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-2 6-2, Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-6 6-1 6-2, Yibing Wu 6-4 6-4 and Hady Habib 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, Mitchell had a good straight sets win against Habib (6-4 6-2). During the match, Krueger scored 60 points vs Habib’s 45. The American was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Krueger fired 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Mitchell Krueger lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Krueger put 69% of his first serves in, winning 70% (26/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the 2nd serve. The American was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Habib 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Krueger has good match record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (278-268). 9-5 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Krueger has a composed 51-54 record in the last years on clay.

Krueger’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 5 Challenger.

Mitchell has an aggregate 14-13 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Oeiras 5 Challenger

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Cristian Garin

Ranked no. 153, Garin got to the final after defeating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-2 6-3, Elias Ymer 6-4 6-1, Gastao Elias 6-3 7-6(4) and Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal against Andres Burruchaga, The Chilean recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁵

6-3 6-4). During the match Garin scored 132 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 116. The Chilean was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Talking about serving, Garin managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Cristian Garin lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Garin put 68% of his first serves in, winning 66% (60/91) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (15/42) on the 2nd serve. Garin broke Andres Burruchaga 7 times after converting 64% of his break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Christian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4.

Christian has a composed 21-10 win-loss record in 2025, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Krueger	Garin
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	78	88
Pts	270-212	334-255
Total Points	482	589
Winners	121	144
%Winners	45%	43%

Both Krueger and Garin played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mitchell Krueger surrendered 1 set, while Cristian Garin conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Krueger and Garin have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Krueger played 10 games less than Garin. Mitchell scored 121 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Garin bagged 144 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Krueger	Garin
Aces	15	12
Avg per match	3.8	3
1st in	175/236	206/299
%1st in	74%	69%
1st pts	121/175	144/206
%1st pts	69%	70%
2nd pts	36/61	46/93
%2nd pts	59%	49%

Krueger struck 15 aces (3.8 per match). Garin recorded 12 aces (3 per match). Krueger won 69% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Garin won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Krueger	Garin
Won	17	19
Converted	17/24	19/30
% Converted	71%	63%
Conceded	17	28
Saved	12	21
% Saved	71%	75%
Times Broken	5	7

The American broke his opponents 17 times with a 71% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Christian broke his opponents 19 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Krueger
	R1 Moura Monteiro	R2 Merida	1/4 Wu	1/2 Habib	Total
Score	6-2 6-2	3-6 6-1 6-2	6-4 6-4	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	16	24	20	18	78
pts	63-45	83-68	64-54	60-45	270-212
Total points	108	151	118	105	482
Winners	29	41	25	26	121
%Winners	46%	49%	39%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	6	2	2	5	15
Double Faults	2	1	0	0	3
1st in	38/52	63/78	37/52	37/54	175/236
% 1st in	73%	81%	71%	69%	74%
1st pts	29/38	41/63	25/37	26/37	121/175
% 1st pts	76%	65%	68%	70%	69%
2nd pts	7/14	9/15	9/15	11/17	36/61
% 2nd pts	50%	60%	60%	65%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	4	17
Converted	4/4	5/7	4/9	4/4	17/24
Converted %	100%	71%	44%	100%	71%
Conceded	3	6	4	4	17
Saved	3/3	4/6	2/4	3/4	12
Saved %	100%	67%	50%	75%	73%
Times Broken	0	2	2	1	5

Garin
	R1 Pablo Ficovich	R2 Ymer	1/4 Elias	1/2 Andres	Total
Score	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-1	6-3 7-64	6-75 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	17	17	22	32	88
pts	54-31	64-42	84-66	132-116	334-255
Total points	85	106	150	248	589
Winners	21	21	42	60	144
%Winners	39%	33%	50%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	4	3	3	12
Double Faults	3	1	1	3	8
1st in	21/37	28/44	66/85	91/133	206/299
% 1st in	57%	64%	78%	68%	69%
1st pts	21/21	21/28	42/66	60/91	144/206
% 1st pts	100%	75%	64%	66%	70%
2nd pts	11/16	10/16	10/19	15/42	46/93
% 2nd pts	69%	63%	53%	36%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	7	19
Converted	4/5	5/8	3/6	7/11	19/30
Converted %	80%	63%	50%	64%	63%
Conceded	0	2	10	16	28
Saved	0/0	1/2	8/10	12/16	21
Saved %	–	50%	80%	75%	51%
Times Broken	0	1	2	4	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Christian GarinGarin (0-1) – H2H and prediction