Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Chun Hsin Tseng will fight against each other in the quarter of the Turin Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.58
Chun Hsin Tseng -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Chun Hsin Tseng
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Chun Hsin Tseng clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Hsin Tseng (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Hsin Tseng won 6-1 6-0 in the 2nd round in M25 Hamburg back in 2020.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
23 - 12win/loss
53
51
LLLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-16 | 3-3 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-2 and Luca Nardi 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-2 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 65 points vs Nardi’s 52. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Nardi 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (369-210). 20-9 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has an overall 333-177 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Camilo has an aggregate 23-12 win-loss record in 2025, 20-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Chun Hsin Tseng
16 - 15win/loss
96
83
LWWWWWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-18 | 5-5 | 20-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-32 | 11-13 | 33-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-25 | 9-8 | 12-15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 11-12 | 28-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 9-8 | 30-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 102, Hsin Tseng got to the quarter after defeating Jacopo Vasami 6-3 6-2 and Carlos Sanchez Jover 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Chun had a good straight sets win against Sanchez Jover (6-2 6-4). During the match Hsin Tseng scored 74 points vs Sanchez Jover’s 58. Hsin Tseng was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Hsin Tseng fired 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Chun Hsin Tseng was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (25/35) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Hsin Tseng broke Sanchez Jover 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Chun has a composed 16-15 win-loss record in 2025, 11-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Hsin Tseng has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Hsin Tseng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 35 |
| Pts | 137-102 | 138-101 |
| Total Points | 239 | 239 |
| Winners | 57 | 48 |
| %Winners | 42% | 35% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Hsin Tseng played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Hsin Tseng have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (35). The Argentine scored 57 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Hsin Tseng made 48 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Hsin Tseng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 77/101 | 66/111 |
| %1st in | 76% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 57/77 | 48/66 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 14/24 | 33/45 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 73% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 5 aces (2.5 per match). Hsin Tseng fired 6 aces (3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Hsin Tseng won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Hsin Tseng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 6 |
| Converted | 8/21 | 6/24 |
| % Converted | 38% | 25% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 5 | 10 |
| % Saved | 83% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Camilo conceded his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 6 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Chinese was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 10 break points.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||
| R1 Virtanen |
R2 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 72-50 | 65-52 | 137-102 | |
| Total points | 122 | 117 | 239 | |
| Winners | 30 | 27 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/44 | 40/57 | 77/101 | |
| % 1st in | 84% | 70% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 27/40 | 57/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 68% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 10/17 | 14/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 59% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/8 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hsin Tseng | ||||
| R1 Vasami |
R2 Sanchez Jover |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 18 | 35 | |
| pts | 64-43 | 74-58 | 138-101 | |
| Total points | 107 | 132 | 239 | |
| Winners | 23 | 25 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/47 | 35/64 | 66/111 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 55% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 23/31 | 25/35 | 48/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/16 | 19/29 | 33/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 88% | 66% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 3/13 | 6/24 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 23% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 8/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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