Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Pedro Rodrigues will play each other in the quarter of the Bogota Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 10:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nicolas Alvarez Varona who should win in 2 sets.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.31
Pedro Rodrigues -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs. Pedro Rodrigues
There is no head to head record between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Pedro Rodrigues since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
15 - 11win/loss
342
219
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-24 | 13-7 | 17-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 4-3 | 36-19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 9-9 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-34 | 3-7 | 13-19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-26 | 11-8 | 29-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 314, the Spaniard reached the quarter after defeating Ignacio Monzon 6-2 6-1 and Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Joaquin Rodriguez (6-3 6-2). During the match, Alvarez Varona scored 67 points vs Joaquin Rodriguez’s 54. Alvarez Varona was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alvarez Varona bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Nicolas Alvarez Varona was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (29/40) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alvarez Varona broke Joaquin Rodriguez 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Spaniard hasn’t lost yet a set in this event to win 60% of the points he played.
Alvarez Varona has positive record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (215-158). 5-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Alvarez Varona has a composed 114-91 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Nicolas has an aggregate 15-10 win-loss record in 2025, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Bogota Challenger
Alvarez Varona has never competed in this tournament before.
Pedro Rodrigues
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-14 | 4-2 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 858 (career-high), Rodrigues reached the quarter after defeating Nicolas Zanellato 5-7 7-5 6-1, Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios 6-1 6-2, Franco Roncadelli 6-2 7-5 and Nicolas Mejia 7-6(7) 5-7 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Pedro defeated Mejia (7-67 5-7 6-3).During the match Rodrigues scored less points (2) than Mejia. In fact, the world no. 314 won 125 points vs Mejia’s. That means that Rodrigues was more focused during the important points. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Rodrigues bagged 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Pedro Rodrigues lost the serve 6 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Rodrigues put 48% of his first serves in, winning 58% (37/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (36/68) on the 2nd serve. Pedro broke Mejia 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rodrigues started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Brazilian’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M15 Villa Maria.
The Brazilian has an aggregate 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alvarez Varona | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 100 |
| Pts | 124-82 | 378-320 |
| Total Points | 206 | 698 |
| Winners | 53 | 116 |
| %Winners | 43% | 31% |
Alvarez Varona played 2 matches while Rodrigues competed in 4 matches. Rodrigues started his run from the qualifications while Alvarez Varona had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Pedro Rodrigues conceded 2 sets while Nicolas Alvarez Varona hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alvarez Varona has played 6 set(s) less than Rodrigues (4 vs 10). Therefore, Alvarez Varona played 68 games less than Rodrigues. Alvarez Varona scored 53 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Pedro recorded 116 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alvarez Varona | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 68/111 | 176/338 |
| %1st in | 61% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 53/68 | 116/176 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 86/162 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 53% |
Alvarez Varona managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Rodrigues made 13 aces (3.3 per match). Alvarez Varona won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Rodrigues won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alvarez Varona | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 24 |
| Converted | 8/12 | 24/54 |
| % Converted | 67% | 44% |
| Conceded | 9 | 33 |
| Saved | 8 | 20 |
| % Saved | 89% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 13 |
Alvarez Varona broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. Nicolas lost his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Pedro broke his opponents 24 times with a 44% conversion rate. Rodrigues conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alvarez Varona | ||||
| R1 Monzon | R2 Joaquin Rodriguez | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 32 | |
| pts | 57-28 | 67-54 | 124-82 | |
| Total points | 85 | 121 | 206 | |
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 28/43 | 40/68 | 68/111 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 59% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/28 | 29/40 | 53/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 15/28 | 22/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 54% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 8 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 8/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Rodrigues | ||||||
| Q1 Zanellato | Q3 Alejandro Linde Palacios | R1 Roncadelli | R2 Mejia | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-5 6-1 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 7-5 | 7-67 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 15 | 20 | 34 | 100 | |
| pts | 105-88 | 69-46 | 79-59 | 125-127 | 378-320 | |
| Total points | 193 | 115 | 138 | 252 | 698 | |
| Winners | 33 | 25 | 21 | 37 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 36% | 27% | 30% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 45/86 | 35/58 | 32/62 | 64/132 | 176/338 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 60% | 52% | 48% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 33/45 | 25/35 | 21/32 | 37/64 | 116/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 71% | 66% | 58% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/41 | 10/23 | 20/30 | 36/68 | 86/162 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 43% | 67% | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 6/11 | 5/12 | 6/15 | 24/54 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 55% | 42% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 33 | |
| Saved | 2/6 | 4/5 | 1/3 | 13/19 | 20 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 80% | 33% | 68% | 107% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
Tennis Scores in Bogota Challenger
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Zdenek KolarKolar (4-6 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Patrick KypsonKypson – Elmar EjupovicEjupovic (7-66 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Patrick KypsonKypson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mateo Barreiros ReyesBarreiros Reyes – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (1-0) – H2H and prediction