Cristian Garin and Gastao Elias will play each other in the quarter of the Oeiras 5 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cristian Garin who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cristian Garin is the pick to win this match.
Cristian Garin -> 1.28
Gastao Elias -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Cristian Garin vs. Gastao Elias
This will be the 2nd time that Cristian Garin and Gastao Elias face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Elias (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Elias won 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Lima Challenger back in 2017.
Cristian Garin
20 - 10win/loss
80
17
WWWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-22 | 6-6 | 39-13 | 1-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-24 | 3-6 | 13-14 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-25 | 22-12 | 18-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-23 | 4-5 | 9-11 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-18 | 2-6 | 15-9 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 153, Garin got to the quarter after beating Juan Pablo Ficovich 6-2 6-3 and Elias Ymer 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Garin had a good straight sets win against Ymer (6-4 6-1). During the match, Garin scored 64 points vs Ymer’s 42. Garin was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Garin struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Cristian Garin was pretty efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Garin broke Ymer 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Christian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 62% of the points he played.
Garin has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (290-208). 13-5 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Garin has an overall 191-113 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Mauthausen Challenger where he beat Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 3-6 6-1 6-4.
Garin has a compiled 19-10 win-loss record in 2025, 13-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 5 Challenger
The Chilean has never competed in this tournament before.
Gastao Elias
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-19 | 25-9 | 6-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-32 | 8-5 | 27-25 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-18 | 10-8 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 4-3 | 18-17 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-18 | 13-5 | 24-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 318, Elias got to the quarter after beating Leandro Riedi 3-6 5-2 ret. and Henrique Rocha 6-7(9) 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round against Rocha, The Portuguese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-79 6-4 7-5). During the match Elias scored 126 points vs Rocha’s 116. Elias was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Elias struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Gastao Elias lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Elias put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (44/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (27/48) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Rocha 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Elias’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio.
Gastao has a composed 20-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Garin | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 34 | 51 |
| Pts | 118-73 | 182-166 |
| Total Points | 191 | 348 |
| Winners | 42 | 59 |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% |
Both Garin and Elias played 2 matches. At the moment, Gastao Elias dropped 2 sets while Cristian Garin hasn’t lost a set so far. Garin has played 2 set(s) less than Elias (4 vs 6). Therefore, Garin played 17 games less than Elias. Garin scored 42 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese bagged 59 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Garin | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 49/81 | 85/160 |
| %1st in | 60% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 42/49 | 59/85 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 42/75 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 56% |
Garin bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Elias bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Garin won 86% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Elias won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Garin | Elias |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 7 |
| Converted | 9/13 | 7/19 |
| % Converted | 69% | 37% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
The Chilean broke his opponents 9 times with a 69% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Portuguese broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Portuguese conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Garin | ||||
| R1 Pablo Ficovich |
R2 Ymer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 34 | |
| pts | 54-31 | 64-42 | 118-73 | |
| Total points | 85 | 106 | 191 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 21/37 | 28/44 | 49/81 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 64% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/21 | 21/28 | 42/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 100% | 75% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 10/16 | 21/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 63% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/8 | 9/13 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 63% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Elias | ||||
| R1 Riedi |
R2 Rocha |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 5-2 ret. | 6-79 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 35 | 51 | |
| pts | 56-50 | 126-116 | 182-166 | |
| Total points | 106 | 242 | 348 | |
| Winners | 15 | 44 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 35% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 21/48 | 64/112 | 85/160 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 57% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 44/64 | 59/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 27/48 | 42/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 5/12 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 42% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
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