Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luca Nardi will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Turin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on CAMPO 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.86
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Luca Nardi
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
23 - 12win/loss
55
51
LLLLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-17 | 3-3 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, the Argentine reached the 2nd round after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-3 6-2). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 72 points vs Virtanen’s 50. Ugo Carabelli was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli scored 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (4/7) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Virtanen 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (368-210). 19-9 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an overall 332-177 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Rosario Challenger where he defeated Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 22-12 win-loss record in 2025, 19-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-21 | 9-8 | 8-9 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Luca got to the 2nd round after beating Mariano Navone 6-1 5-7 7-6(2).
In the 1st round, Luca defeated Navone (6-1 5-7 7-62). During the match Nardi scored 120 points vs Navone’s 106. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luca Nardi lost the serve 6 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Nardi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Luca broke Navone 8 times after converting 53% of his break points (8/15).
Luca’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Koblenz Challenger.
Luca has a composed 20-16 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022 and 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 |
| Pts | 72-50 | 120-106 |
| Total Points | 122 | 226 |
| Winners | 30 | 43 |
| %Winners | 42% | 36% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Nardi played 1 match. At the moment, Luca Nardi conceded 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set(s) less than Nardi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 15 games less than Nardi. The Argentine scored 30 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Luca recorded 43 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 1 |
| 1st in | 37/44 | 67/107 |
| %1st in | 84% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 43/67 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 18/40 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 45% |
Ugo Carabelli fired 2 aces . Nardi struck 1 ace . Ugo Carabelli won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Nardi won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 31% | 53% |
| Conceded | 1 | 16 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 100% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 6 |
Camilo broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Argentine quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. Nardi broke his opponent 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Nardi conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||
| R1 Virtanen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 72-50 | 72-50 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 37/44 | 37/44 | |
| % 1st in | 84% | 84% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nardi | |||
| R1 Navone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 5-7 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 120-106 | 120-106 | |
| Total points | 226 | 226 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 67/107 | 67/107 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/67 | 43/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/40 | 18/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 16 | 16 | |
| Saved | 10/16 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLWWWL
LLWWWLLLWL Tennis Scores in Turin Challenger
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Giovanni FonioFonio (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-1 5-7 7-62) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (7-66 6-76 6-3) – See score progression
- Robin Haase/Hendrik JebensHaase/Hendrik Jebens – Vlad Victor Cornea/Karol DrzewieckiVictor Cornea/Karol Drzewiecki (4-6 7-65 10-7) – See score progression
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Jacopo VasamiVasami (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Ethan QuinnQuinn (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Federico CinaCina (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Luca NardiNardi – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-1 5-7 7-6(2)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Andrea CollariniCollarini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
