
Alexander Bublik and Federico Arnaboldi will face off in the 2nd round of the Turin Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 7:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Bublik who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexander Bublik is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Bublik -> 1.22
Federico Arnaboldi -> 3.92
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Federico Arnaboldi
There is no head to head record between Alexander Bublik and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Alexander Bublik

14 - 14win/loss
13
13
LLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 76, Alexander reached the 2nd round after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-3 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-3 6-1). During the match, Bublik scored 60 points vs Gigante’s 38. Alexander was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bublik blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alexander Bublik conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Bublik put 71% of his first serves in, winning 85% (29/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (6/14) on the 2nd serve. Bublik broke Gigante 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Bublik has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (335-256). 7-4 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Bublik has a composed 48-56 match record in the last years on clay.
The Kazakhstani’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Phoenix Challenger.
Alexander has a composed 14-14 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Turin Challenger
Bublik has never competed in this tournament before.
Federico Arnaboldi

10 - 11win/loss
389
183
LWLLLLLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-27 | 2-5 | 11-19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-27 | 0-1 | 40-23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-29 | 1-2 | 23-21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-24 | 0-2 | 23-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 60-15 | 12-2 | 48-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 194 (career-high), Federico reached the 2nd round after defeating Ethan Quinn 2-6 6-2 7-5.
In the 1st round against Quinn, Federico recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 7-5). During the match Arnaboldi scored 96 points vs Quinn’s 91. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaboldi blasted 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 58% of his first serves in, winning 64% (38/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (23/43) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Quinn 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
The Italian has an aggregate 10-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bublik | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 28 |
| Pts | 60-38 | 96-91 |
| Total Points | 98 | 187 |
| Winners | 29 | 38 |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% |
Both Bublik and Arnaboldi played 1 match. At the moment, Federico Arnaboldi surrendered 1 set while Alexander Bublik hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Bublik has played 1 set(s) less than Arnaboldi (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bublik played 12 games less than Arnaboldi. Alexander scored 29 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Arnaboldi scored 38 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bublik | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 34/48 | 59/102 |
| %1st in | 71% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 38/59 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 23/43 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 53% |
Bublik scored 5 aces . Arnaboldi fired 2 aces . Bublik won 85% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bublik | Arnaboldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 80% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Bublik broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Bublik extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. Federico broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Federico conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bublik | |||
| R1 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-38 | 60-38 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 29/34 | 29/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Arnaboldi | |||
| R1 Quinn |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 96-91 | 96-91 | |
| Total points | 187 | 187 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 59/102 | 59/102 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/59 | 38/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/43 | 23/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWL
LWLLLLLLLL Tennis Scores in Turin Challenger
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Robin Haase/Hendrik JebensHaase/Hendrik Jebens – Vlad Victor Cornea/Karol DrzewieckiVictor Cornea/Karol Drzewiecki (4-6 7-65 10-7) – See score progression
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Giovanni FonioFonio (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Jacopo VasamiVasami (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Federico CinaCina (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Matteo GiganteGigante (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Ethan QuinnQuinn (2-6 6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Vitaliy SachkoSachko – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Giovanni FonioFonio (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Vitaliy SachkoSachko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Federico ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Alexander BublikBublik (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Fabio FogniniFognini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Andrea CollariniCollarini (2-0) – H2H and prediction








