Tommy Paul and Hubert Hurkacz will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on SUPERTENNIS ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.58
Hubert Hurkacz -> 2.38
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Hubert Hurkacz
This will be the 4th time that Tommy Paul and Hubert Hurkacz square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Paul won 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the quarter in Rome back in 2024.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz – Rome 16-May-2024
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 10-4 | 12-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-20 | 17-12 | 10-4 | 8-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Tommy reached the quarter after beating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-1 6-4, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 7-5 6-3.
In the 4th round, Paul had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (7-5 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 80 points vs De Minaur’s 66. Tommy was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paul was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 58% of his first serves in, winning 63% (27/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke De Minaur 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Tommy has dropped 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (365-208). 7-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has a composed 86-50 match record in the last years on clay.
Paul’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide, Dallas and Houston.
The American has an aggregate 20-7 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 4-5 | 7-4 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-19 | 17-10 | 14-4 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Hurkacz got to the quarter after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 6-1 7-5, Marcos Giron 6-3 1-6 6-1 and Jakub Mensik 7-6(5) 4-6 7-6(5).
In the 4th round, Hurkacz defeated Mensik (7-65 4-6 7-65).During the match Hurkacz scored less points (3) than Mensik. In fact, the world no. 12 won 121 points vs Mensik’s. That means that Hurkacz was more focused during the important points. Hubert was quite aggressive to blast 62 winners.
About the serving games, Hurkacz bagged 19 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hubert Hurkacz was quite effective on serve to win 73% (62/85) of his 1st serve and 56% (25/45) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Hubert has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Hurkacz’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Australia.
Hubert has a composed 10-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 78 |
| Pts | 234-195 | 258-231 |
| Total Points | 429 | 489 |
| Winners | 90 | 129 |
| %Winners | 38% | 50% |
Both Paul and Hurkacz played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul conceded 1 set, while Hubert Hurkacz lost 2 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Hurkacz (7 vs 8). Therefore, Paul played 8 games less than Hurkacz. Paul scored 90 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Hurkacz scored 129 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 38 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 12.7 |
| 1st in | 122/218 | 168/250 |
| %1st in | 56% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 90/122 | 129/168 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 55/96 | 41/82 |
| %2nd pts | 57% | 50% |
Paul fired 9 aces (3 per match). Hurkacz managed to score 38 aces (12.7 per match). Paul won 74% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 8 |
| Converted | 12/17 | 8/20 |
| % Converted | 71% | 40% |
| Conceded | 14 | 13 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 71% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Paul broke his opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. Paul dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Hubert broke his opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Pole conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||||
| R2 Bautista-Agut |
R3 Machac |
R4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-75 6-4 | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 | 21 | 70 | |
| pts | 57-41 | 97-88 | 80-66 | 234-195 | |
| Total points | 98 | 185 | 146 | 429 | |
| Winners | 19 | 44 | 27 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 45% | 34% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 22/45 | 57/99 | 43/74 | 122/218 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 58% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 19/22 | 44/57 | 27/43 | 90/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 77% | 63% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/23 | 22/42 | 19/31 | 55/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 52% | 61% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/6 | 4/7 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 67% | 57% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/4 | 8/10 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 80% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Hurkacz | |||||
| R2 Martinez Portero |
R3 Giron |
R4 Mensik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 1-6 6-1 | 7-65 4-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 36 | 78 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 72-62 | 121-124 | 258-231 | |
| Total points | 110 | 134 | 245 | 489 | |
| Winners | 31 | 36 | 62 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 50% | 51% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 12 | 19 | 38 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/50 | 45/70 | 85/130 | 168/250 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 64% | 65% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 31/38 | 36/45 | 62/85 | 129/168 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 80% | 73% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 9/25 | 25/45 | 41/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 36% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/11 | 0/3 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 36% | 0% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 1/4 | 7/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 25% | 88% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
WLLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jack DraperDraper (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
