Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on SUPERTENNIS ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.33
Casper Ruud -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruud
This will be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Casper Ruud fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-1 6-2 in the semifinal in Nitto atp finals back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud – Nitto atp finals 16-November-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-3 | 7-0 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Sinner got to the quarter after defeating Mariano Navone 6-3 6-4, Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-2 and Francisco Cerundolo 7-6(2) 6-3.
In the 4th round, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (7-62 6-3). During the match, Sinner scored 94 points vs Cerundolo’s 83. Jannik was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner struck 2 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (40/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Sinner broke Cerundolo 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (356-121). 3-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled88-38 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
Sinner has an aggregate 10-0 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-3 | 13-4 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Ruud reached the quarter after defeating Alexander Bublik 6-4 4-6 6-3, Matteo Berrettini 7-5 2-0 ret. and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-3 6-4.
In the 4th round, Casper had a good straight sets win against Munar Clar (6-3 6-4). During the match Ruud scored 64 points vs Munar Clar’s 51. The Norwegian was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Ruud scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Casper Ruud was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (25/32) of his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ruud broke Munar Clar twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Madrid where he overcame Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.
The Norwegian has an overall 24-6 win-loss record in 2025, 12-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020, 2022 and 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 62 |
| Pts | 227-183 | 202-165 |
| Total Points | 410 | 367 |
| Winners | 85 | 84 |
| %Winners | 37% | 42% |
Both Sinner and Ruud played 3 matches. At the moment, Casper Ruud surrendered 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t lost a set so far. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Ruud (6 vs 8). Therefore, Sinner played 3 games less than Ruud. The Italian scored 85 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Ruud blasted 84 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 131/206 | 105/167 |
| %1st in | 64% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 85/131 | 84/105 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 45/75 | 42/62 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 68% |
Sinner recorded 7 aces (2.3 per match). Ruud recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Sinner won 65% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 7 |
| Converted | 11/26 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 42% | 41% |
| Conceded | 15 | 4 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Sinner broke his opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Casper broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Norwegian conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||
| R2 Navone |
R3 De |
R4 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 22 | 59 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 66-44 | 94-83 | 227-183 | |
| Total points | 123 | 110 | 177 | 410 | |
| Winners | 24 | 21 | 40 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 43% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 33/52 | 60/91 | 131/206 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 21/33 | 40/60 | 85/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 64% | 67% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 13/19 | 15/31 | 45/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | 48% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/7 | 3/12 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 71% | 25% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 6/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 75% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Ruud | |||||
| R2 Bublik |
R3 Berrettini |
R4 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 7-5 2-0 ret. | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 14 | 19 | 62 | |
| pts | 93-80 | 45-34 | 64-51 | 202-165 | |
| Total points | 173 | 79 | 115 | 367 | |
| Winners | 37 | 22 | 25 | 84 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 39% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 1 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 48/78 | 25/35 | 32/54 | 105/167 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 71% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/48 | 22/25 | 25/32 | 84/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 78% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/30 | 6/10 | 17/22 | 42/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 60% | 77% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/4 | 2/5 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 40% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 100% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWL
LWLWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jack DraperDraper (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Casper RuudRuud (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
