Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti will play each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.7
Lorenzo Musetti -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti

This will be the 4^th time that Alexander Zverev and Lorenzo Musetti square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Musetti (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Musetti won 2-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the quarter in Vienna back in 2024.

Highlights Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev – Vienna 25-October-2024

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), Zverev reached the quarter after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-1, Vilius Gaubas 6-4 6-0 and Arthur Fils 7-6(3) 6-1.

In the 4^th round, Alexander had a good straight sets win against Fils (7-6³ 6-1). During the match, Zverev scored 77 points vs Fils’s 62. The German was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zverev scored 8 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 73% of his first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Zverev broke Fils 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Zverev hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 60% of the points he played.

Zverev has a remarkable record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (469-182). 13-4 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has a composed 156-50 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Munich where he overcame Ben Shelton in the final 6-2 6-4.

Zverev has an overall 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 13-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Lorenzo got to the quarter after beating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-2, Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3 and Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-4.

In the 4^th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (7-5 6-4). During the match Musetti scored 64 points vs Medvedev’s 52. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about serving, Musetti scored 4 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was very efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 70% (16/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Musetti broke Medvedev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Carlo.

The Italian has a compiled 19-6 win-loss record in 2025, 13-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Musetti
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	51	58
Pts	202-137	188-147
Total Points	339	335
Winners	76	89
%Winners	38%	47%

Both Zverev and Musetti played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zverev and Musetti have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Zverev played 7 games less than Musetti. Zverev scored 76 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Musetti scored 89 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Musetti
Aces	9	9
Avg per match	3	3
1st in	105/154	111/163
%1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	76/105	89/111
%1st pts	72%	80%
2nd pts	24/49	31/52
%2nd pts	49%	60%

Zverev recorded 9 aces (3 per match). Musetti fired 9 aces (3 per match). Zverev won 72% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Musetti won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Musetti
Won	17	9
Converted	17/32	9/18
% Converted	53%	50%
Conceded	15	4
Saved	10	3
% Saved	67%	75%
Times Broken	5	1

The German broke his opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. Zverev surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R2 Ugo	R3 Gaubas	R4 Fils	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	6-4 6-0	7-63 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	15	16	20	51
pts	56-33	69-42	77-62	202-137
Total points	89	111	139	339
Winners	20	22	34	76
%Winners	36%	32%	44%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	8	9
Double Faults	1	0	0	1
1st in	29/45	29/45	47/64	105/154
% 1st in	64%	64%	73%	68%
1st pts	20/29	22/29	34/47	76/105
% 1st pts	69%	76%	72%	72%
2nd pts	9/16	8/16	7/17	24/49
% 2nd pts	56%	50%	41%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	6	5	17
Converted	6/10	6/12	5/10	17/32
Converted %	60%	50%	50%	53%
Conceded	4	4	7	15
Saved	3/4	2/4	5/7	10
Saved %	75%	50%	71%	65%
Times Broken	1	2	2	5

Musetti
	R2 Virtanen	R3 Nakashima	R4 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	6-4 6-3	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	17	19	22	58
pts	69-49	55-46	64-52	188-147
Total points	118	101	116	335
Winners	30	32	27	89
%Winners	43%	58%	42%	47%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	4	9
Double Faults	1	1	0	2
1st in	37/53	39/52	35/58	111/163
% 1st in	70%	75%	60%	68%
1st pts	30/37	32/39	27/35	89/111
% 1st pts	81%	82%	77%	80%
2nd pts	9/16	6/13	16/23	31/52
% 2nd pts	56%	46%	70%	60%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/9	3/4	3/5	9/18
Converted %	33%	75%	60%	50%
Conceded	0	1	3	4
Saved	0/0	1/1	2/3	3
Saved %	–	100%	67%	56%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 7-6²) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Laslo DjereDjere (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger RuneRune (7-5 5-7 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Tommy PaulPaul (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Casper RuudRuud (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Alexander ZverevZverev (2-1) – H2H and prediction