Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.25
Qinwen Zheng -> 3.94
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng face off. The head to head is 6-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sabalenka won 6-2 7-5 in the quarter in Miami back in March 2025.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen Zheng – Miami 25-March-2025
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 40-6 | 23-4 | 17-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Belarussian reached the quarter after beating Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-2, Sofia Kenin 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 6-1 7-6(8).
In the 4th round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-1 7-68). During the match, Sabalenka scored 94 points vs Kostyuk’s 80. Aryna was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve twice and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 56% of her first serves in, winning 71% (36/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (19/40) on the 2nd serve. The Belarussian broke Kostyuk 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belarussian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a tremendous record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (408-173). 11-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has an overall 88-40 match record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Aryna has a compiled 34-5 win-loss record in 2025, 11-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-9 | 7-5 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Chinese reached the quarter after beating Olga Danilovic 6-1 6-4, Magdalena Frech 6-3 6-2 and Bianca Vanessa Andreescu 7-5 6-1.
In the 4th round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Andreescu (7-5 6-1). During the match Zheng scored 68 points vs Andreescu’s 48. Zheng was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Zheng scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 9 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve 4 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 46% of her first serves in, winning 77% (20/26) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Andreescu 7 times after converting 47% of her break points (7/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Qinwen has an overall 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 63 | 53 |
| Pts | 259-215 | 195-142 |
| Total Points | 474 | 337 |
| Winners | 89 | 66 |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% |
Both Sabalenka and Zheng played 3 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka conceded 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t dropped a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set more than Zheng (7 vs 6). Therefore, Sabalenka played 10 games more than Zheng. Sabalenka scored 89 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese recorded 66 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 129/211 | 90/172 |
| %1st in | 61% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 89/129 | 66/90 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 43/82 | 37/82 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 45% |
Sabalenka made 9 aces (3 per match). Zheng managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Sabalenka won 69% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Zheng won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 17 |
| Converted | 14/40 | 17/32 |
| % Converted | 35% | 53% |
| Conceded | 22 | 16 |
| Saved | 15 | 8 |
| % Saved | 68% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 8 |
Aryna broke her opponents 14 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Belarussian lost her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Zheng broke her opponents 17 times with a 53% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||||
| R2 Potapova |
R3 Kenin |
R4 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 27 | 20 | 63 | |
| pts | 58-39 | 107-96 | 94-80 | 259-215 | |
| Total points | 97 | 203 | 174 | 474 | |
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 36 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 27% | 38% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/43 | 48/77 | 51/91 | 129/211 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 56% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 29/48 | 36/51 | 89/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 60% | 71% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 15/29 | 19/40 | 43/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 52% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/23 | 4/10 | 14/40 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 26% | 40% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 8 | 14 | 22 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/8 | 12/14 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 38% | 86% | 41% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Zheng | |||||
| R2 Danilovic |
R3 Frech |
R4 Andreescu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 19 | 53 | |
| pts | 66-49 | 61-45 | 68-48 | 195-142 | |
| Total points | 115 | 106 | 116 | 337 | |
| Winners | 25 | 21 | 20 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 34% | 29% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 33/55 | 31/60 | 26/57 | 90/172 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 52% | 46% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 21/31 | 20/26 | 66/90 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 68% | 77% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 14/29 | 13/31 | 37/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 48% | 42% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/8 | 7/15 | 17/32 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 63% | 47% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 2/4 | 2/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWLWWW
LWWWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-71 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan SatralSatral – Dan AddedAdded (6-2 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Vaclav SafranekSafranek (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Colin SinclairSinclair – Ondrej KrstevKrstev (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Julian LenzLenz – Evan FurnessFurness (7-63 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
