Mitchell Krueger and Daniel Merida Aguilar will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Oeiras 5 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.76
Mitchell Krueger -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Mitchell Krueger vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar
There is no head to head record between Mitchell Krueger and Daniel Merida Aguilar since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mitchell Krueger
11 - 13win/loss
141
135
LLWWWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-15 | 5-7 | 9-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-31 | 30-17 | 9-7 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-29 | 15-19 | 4-4 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-28 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-24 | 19-12 | 5-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 151, the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Thiago Moura Monteiro 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Krueger had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (6-2 6-2). During the match, Krueger scored 63 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 45. Mitchell was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Krueger bagged 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mitchell Krueger conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Krueger put 73% of his first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (7/14) on the 2nd serve. Krueger was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Moura Monteiro 4 times.
Krueger has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (275-268). 6-5 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Krueger has an aggregate 48-54 match record in the last years on clay.
The American has a composed 11-13 win-loss record in 2025, 6-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 5 Challenger
Krueger has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
19 - 7win/loss
288
270
LWWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-8 | 5-2 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-33 | 17-9 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-14 | 1-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 335, Daniel reached the 2nd round after beating Diogo Coelho 6-0 6-1, Alejo Sanchez Quilez 6-4 2-6 6-3 and Alexey Vatutin 6-4 7-5.
In the 1st round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Vatutin (6-4 7-5). During the match Merida scored 78 points vs Vatutin’s 68. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Merida scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 5 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Merida put 83% of his first serves in, winning 56% (36/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 31% (4/13) on the 2nd serve. Daniel broke Vatutin 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
The Spaniard’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Doha and M25 Sabadell.
The Spaniard has an overall 19-7 win-loss record in 2025, 14-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Krueger | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 62 |
| Pts | 63-45 | 218-175 |
| Total Points | 108 | 393 |
| Winners | 29 | 98 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Krueger played 1 match while Merida competed in 3 matches. Merida started his run from the qualifications while Krueger had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Daniel Merida Aguilar conceded 1 set while Mitchell Krueger hasn’t dropped a set so far. Krueger has played 5 set(s) less than Merida (2 vs 7). Therefore, Krueger played 46 games less than Merida. The American scored 29 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel blasted 98 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Krueger | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 38/52 | 158/203 |
| %1st in | 73% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 98/158 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 62% |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 20/45 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 44% |
Krueger struck 6 aces . Merida bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Krueger won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Merida won 62% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Krueger | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 17 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 17/30 |
| % Converted | 100% | 57% |
| Conceded | 3 | 24 |
| Saved | 3 | 15 |
| % Saved | 100% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 9 |
Krueger broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Krueger was rock solid on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Merida broke his opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Krueger | |||
| R1 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 63-45 | 63-45 | |
| Total points | 108 | 108 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/52 | 38/52 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Merida | |||||
| Q1 Coelho |
Q3 Sanchez Quilez |
R1 Vatutin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 27 | 22 | 62 | |
| pts | 53-16 | 87-91 | 78-68 | 218-175 | |
| Total points | 69 | 178 | 146 | 393 | |
| Winners | 18 | 44 | 36 | 98 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 51% | 46% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 21/33 | 73/93 | 64/77 | 158/203 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 78% | 83% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 18/21 | 44/73 | 36/64 | 98/158 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 60% | 56% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/12 | 6/20 | 4/13 | 20/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 30% | 31% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/9 | 7/13 | 17/30 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 56% | 54% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 13 | 24 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 7/11 | 8/13 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 64% | 62% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLW
LWWWWWWWWL Tennis Scores in Oeiras 5 Challenger
- Eero VasaVasa – Joao DominguesDomingues (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Tiago PereiraPereira (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gastao EliasElias – Leandro RiediRiedi (3-6 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Ryan NijboerNijboer (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Pedro CachinCachin (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (2-6 7-66 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Hady HabibHabib – Nicolas Moreno De AlboranMoreno De Alboran (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Yibing WuWu – Tristan BoyerBoyer (7-64 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga – James McCabeMcCabe (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- James Kent TrotterKent Trotter – Sascha Gueymard WayenburgGueymard Wayenburg (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Pedro AraujoAraujo (6-1 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Pedro CachinCachin (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Eero VasaVasa – Joao DominguesDomingues (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Ryan NijboerNijboer (2-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Tiago PereiraPereira (7-6(7) 6-3) – See score progression
- Elias YmerYmer – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-1 3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Gastao EliasElias – Leandro RiediRiedi (3-6 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Henrique RochaRocha – Kenny de Schepperde Schepper (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Gastao EliasElias – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mitchell KruegerKrueger – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Christian GarinGarin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Yibing WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Eero VasaVasa – Hady HabibHabib (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Genaro Alberto OlivieriAlberto Olivieri – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Christopher EubanksEubanks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
