Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper will clash against each other in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.4
Jack Draper -> 2.95

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 6^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jack Draper fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Draper won 6-1 0-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz – Indian wells 15-March-2025

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 3, Alcaraz reached the quarter after defeating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 6-3, Laslo Djere 7-6(2) 6-2 and Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Alcaraz defeated Khachanov (6-3 3-6 7-5).During the match, Alcaraz scored less points (3) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 3 won 95 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Alcaraz was more focused during the important points. Carlos was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Alcaraz scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (45/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (15/36) on the 2nd serve. Alcaraz broke Khachanov 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has surrendered 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 79% of his matches (314-81). 12-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has a composed153-36 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0.

Alcaraz has an aggregate 27-5 win-loss record in 2025, 12-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Jack reached the quarter after beating Luciano Darderi 6-1 6-4, Vit Kopriva 6-4 6-3 and Corentin Moutet 1-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 4^th round against Moutet, Draper recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Draper scored 76 points vs Moutet’s 75. Draper was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Draper fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jack Draper was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Draper broke Moutet 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jack has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.

The Brit has a compiled 22-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Draper
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	69	62
Pts	237-212	216-181
Total Points	449	397
Winners	101	91
%Winners	43%	42%

Both Alcaraz and Draper played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz conceded 1 set, while Jack Draper surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Draper have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Alcaraz played 7 games more than Draper. Alcaraz scored 101 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Jack made 91 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Draper
Aces	5	12
Avg per match	1.7	4
1st in	149/222	120/186
%1st in	67%	65%
1st pts	101/149	91/120
%1st pts	68%	76%
2nd pts	38/73	37/66
%2nd pts	52%	56%

Alcaraz recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Draper made 12 aces (4 per match). Alcaraz won 68% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Draper
Won	13	10
Converted	13/29	10/26
% Converted	45%	38%
Conceded	15	15
Saved	8	12
% Saved	53%	80%
Times Broken	7	3

The Spaniard broke his opponents 13 times with a 45% conversion rate. Alcaraz conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R2 Lajovic	R3 Djere	R4 Khachanov	Total
Score	6-3 6-3	7-62 6-2	6-3 3-6 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	18	21	30	69
pts	66-52	76-62	95-98	237-212
Total points	118	138	193	449
Winners	26	30	45	101
%Winners	39%	39%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	1	5
Double Faults	2	0	2	4
1st in	36/51	44/66	69/105	149/222
% 1st in	71%	67%	66%	67%
1st pts	26/36	30/44	45/69	101/149
% 1st pts	72%	68%	65%	68%
2nd pts	9/15	14/22	15/36	38/73
% 2nd pts	60%	64%	42%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	4	5	13
Converted	4/10	4/9	5/10	13/29
Converted %	40%	44%	50%	45%
Conceded	2	4	9	15
Saved	1/2	2/4	5/9	8
Saved %	50%	50%	56%	52%
Times Broken	1	2	4	7

Draper
	R2 Darderi	R3 Kopriva	R4 Moutet	Total
Score	6-1 6-4	6-4 6-3	1-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	17	19	26	62
pts	69-49	71-57	76-75	216-181
Total points	118	128	151	397
Winners	35	24	32	91
%Winners	51%	34%	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	3	2	12
Double Faults	0	2	2	4
1st in	46/65	29/49	45/72	120/186
% 1st in	71%	59%	63%	65%
1st pts	35/46	24/29	32/45	91/120
% 1st pts	76%	83%	71%	76%
2nd pts	8/19	14/20	15/27	37/66
% 2nd pts	42%	70%	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	3	3	10
Converted	4/5	3/13	3/8	10/26
Converted %	80%	23%	38%	38%
Conceded	7	4	4	15
Saved	7/7	4/4	1/4	12
Saved %	100%	100%	25%	75%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 7-6²) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger RuneRune (7-5 5-7 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Laslo DjereDjere (7-6² 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-0) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tommy PaulPaul – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Casper RuudRuud (1-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (2-3) – H2H and prediction