Jasmine Paolini and Diana Shnaider will face off in the quarter of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.571
Diana Shnaider -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Diana Shnaider
This will be the 2nd time that Jasmine Paolini and Diana Shnaider fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Paolini (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Paolini won 6-3 6-4 in the 1st round in at the Australian Open back in 2024.
Highlights Jasmine Paolini vs Diana Shnaider – Australian Open 15-January-2024
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-8 | 12-6 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Jasmine got to the quarter after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-3, Ons Jabeur 6-4 6-3 and Jelena Ostapenko 7-5 6-2.
In the 4th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (7-5 6-2). During the match, Paolini scored 81 points vs Ostapenko’s 72. Jasmine was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini recorded 5 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 72% of her first serves in, winning 55% (29/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paolini hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Paolini has positive record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (329-239). 7-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a composed 162-96 match record in the last years on clay.
Jasmine’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Miami and Stuttgart.
Paolini has an overall 19-8 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Diana Shnaider
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-12 | 7-8 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), Shnaider got to the quarter after defeating Caroline Dolehide 6-0 6-0, Jaqueline Cristian 6-3 6-3 and Elise Mertens 6-2 6-3.
In the 4th round, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-2 6-3). During the match Shnaider scored 62 points vs Mertens’s 46. Shnaider was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Shnaider scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Diana Shnaider was quite effective on serve to win 72% (31/43) of her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diana broke Mertens 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shnaider hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
The Russian has a composed 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 47 |
| Pts | 219-171 | 184-126 |
| Total Points | 390 | 310 |
| Winners | 79 | 83 |
| %Winners | 36% | 45% |
Both Paolini and Shnaider played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Shnaider have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Paolini played 11 games more than Shnaider. The Italian scored 79 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Shnaider fired 83 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 124/184 | 122/181 |
| %1st in | 67% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 79/124 | 83/122 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 41/60 | 34/59 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 58% |
Paolini managed to score 6 aces (2 per match). Shnaider bagged 8 aces (2.7 per match). Paolini won 64% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 68% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 13 |
| Converted | 12/30 | 13/19 |
| % Converted | 40% | 68% |
| Conceded | 12 | 17 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 58% | 94% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Jasmine broke her opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. Paolini dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 13 times with a 68% conversion rate. Diana conceded her serve once and she saved 94% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||||
| R2 Sun |
R3 Jabeur |
R4 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 20 | 58 | |
| pts | 75-56 | 63-43 | 81-72 | 219-171 | |
| Total points | 131 | 106 | 153 | 390 | |
| Winners | 23 | 27 | 29 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 43% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 37/51 | 53/74 | 124/184 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 73% | 72% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/34 | 27/37 | 29/53 | 79/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 73% | 55% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 9/14 | 16/21 | 41/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | 76% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/9 | 4/7 | 12/30 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 44% | 57% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1/3 | 5/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | 83% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Shnaider | |||||
| R2 Dolehide |
R3 Cristian |
R4 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 18 | 17 | 47 | |
| pts | 54-23 | 68-57 | 62-46 | 184-126 | |
| Total points | 77 | 125 | 108 | 310 | |
| Winners | 23 | 29 | 31 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/47 | 44/71 | 43/63 | 122/181 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 62% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 29/44 | 31/43 | 83/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | 72% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 15/27 | 12/20 | 34/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 56% | 60% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 4/6 | 3/6 | 13/19 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 67% | 50% | 68% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 10/11 | 5/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 91% | 100% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWL
WLWWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Julian LenzLenz – Evan FurnessFurness (7-63 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jan SatralSatral – Dan AddedAdded (6-2 3-1 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Vaclav SafranekSafranek (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Colin SinclairSinclair – Ondrej KrstevKrstev (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
