Jack Draper and Corentin Moutet will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on SUPERTENNIS ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.14
Corentin Moutet -> 5.7
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Corentin Moutet
There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Corentin Moutet since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-6 | 13-3 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Draper got to the 4th round after defeating Luciano Darderi 6-1 6-4 and Vit Kopriva 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (6-4 6-3). During the match, Draper scored 71 points vs Kopriva’s 57. Draper was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draper made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jack Draper was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Brit broke Kopriva 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jack hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (247-109). 8-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draper has an aggregate32-21 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.
The Brit has an overall 21-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Corentin Moutet
13 - 11win/loss
83
51
LWWWLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-12 | 6-4 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Moutet reached the 4th round after beating Rinky Hijikata 3-6 6-1 7-5, Ugo Humbert 6-3 4-0 ret. and Holger Rune 7-5 5-7 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, The French player defeated Rune (7-5 5-7 7-64). During the match Moutet scored 127 points vs Rune’s 121. Moutet was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Moutet blasted 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Corentin Moutet lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 57% of his first serves in, winning 78% (50/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (23/49) on the 2nd serve. Corentin broke Rune 3 times after converting 23% of his break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Moutet has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
Corentin has an overall 13-11 win-loss record in 2025, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 78 |
| Pts | 140-106 | 278-248 |
| Total Points | 246 | 526 |
| Winners | 59 | 102 |
| %Winners | 42% | 37% |
Draper played 2 matches while Moutet competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Corentin Moutet conceded 2 sets while Jack Draper hasn’t lost a set so far. Draper has played 5 set(s) less than Moutet (4 vs 9). Therefore, Draper played 42 games less than Moutet. Jack scored 59 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 102 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 75/114 | 147/253 |
| %1st in | 66% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 59/75 | 102/147 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 57/106 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Draper fired 10 aces (5 per match). Moutet bagged 6 aces (2 per match). Draper won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 13 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 13/32 |
| % Converted | 39% | 41% |
| Conceded | 11 | 22 |
| Saved | 11 | 15 |
| % Saved | 100% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 7 |
The Brit broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Brit extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 11 break points. Moutet broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. Moutet conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | ||||
| R2 Darderi |
R3 Kopriva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 36 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 71-57 | 140-106 | |
| Total points | 118 | 128 | 246 | |
| Winners | 35 | 24 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 34% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/65 | 29/49 | 75/114 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/46 | 24/29 | 59/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 14/20 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 70% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 3/13 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 23% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 4/4 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Moutet | |||||
| R1 Hijikata |
R2 Humbert |
R3 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 7-5 | 6-3 4-0 ret. | 7-5 5-7 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 13 | 37 | 78 | |
| pts | 97-91 | 54-36 | 127-121 | 278-248 | |
| Total points | 188 | 90 | 248 | 526 | |
| Winners | 38 | 14 | 50 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 26% | 39% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 62/101 | 21/39 | 64/113 | 147/253 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 54% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 38/62 | 14/21 | 50/64 | 102/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 67% | 78% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/39 | 11/18 | 23/49 | 57/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 61% | 47% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/8 | 3/13 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 63% | 23% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 6 | 4 | 22 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 5/6 | 1/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 83% | 25% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWWW
LWWWLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger RuneRune (7-5 5-7 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Laslo DjereDjere (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Casper RuudRuud (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
