Jannik Sinner and Francisco Cerundolo will face off in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.38
Francisco Cerundolo -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Francisco Cerundolo
This will be the 5th time that Jannik Sinner and Francisco Cerundolo clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Cerundolo won 6-7(3) 6-2 6-2 in the 4th round in Rome back in 2023.
Highlights Francisco Cerundolo vs Jannik Sinner – Rome 16-May-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-1 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Italian reached the 4th round after defeating Mariano Navone 6-3 6-4 and Jesper De Jong 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against De Jong (6-4 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 66 points vs De Jong’s 44. Jannik was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner struck 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 63% of his first serves in, winning 64% (21/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke De Jong 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sinner hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (355-121). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an overall87-38 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he overcame Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
Sinner has a compiled 9-0 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Francisco Cerundolo
26 - 10win/loss
18
18
LWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 27-12 | 8-4 | 19-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-31 | 5-10 | 21-13 | 9-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-26 | 10-10 | 19-12 | 4-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 7-8 | 25-10 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 44-24 | 3-2 | 39-21 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Cerundolo reached the 4th round after defeating Nicolas Jarry 7-6(4) 6-3 and Sebastian Ofner 6-2 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-2 6-4). During the match Cerundolo scored 60 points vs Ofner’s 44. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Cerundolo scored 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Francisco Cerundolo was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (27/35) of his 1st serve and 67% (12/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Argentine broke Ofner 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Cerundolo’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Buenos Aires.
The Argentine has a compiled 26-10 win-loss record in 2025, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 40 |
| Pts | 133-100 | 143-116 |
| Total Points | 233 | 259 |
| Winners | 45 | 62 |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% |
Both Sinner and Cerundolo played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Cerundolo have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sinner played 3 games less than Cerundolo. Jannik scored 45 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine struck 62 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 71/115 | 86/130 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 45/71 | 62/86 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 30/44 | 30/44 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 68% |
Sinner struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Cerundolo fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sinner won 63% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Cerundolo won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 5 |
| Converted | 8/14 | 5/20 |
| % Converted | 57% | 25% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 6 |
| % Saved | 57% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Sinner lost his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Cerundolo broke his opponents 5 times with a 25% conversion rate. Cerundolo conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||
| R2 Navone |
R3 De |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 37 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 66-44 | 133-100 | |
| Total points | 123 | 110 | 233 | |
| Winners | 24 | 21 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 33/52 | 71/115 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 21/33 | 45/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 13/19 | 30/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/7 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 71% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Cerundolo | ||||
| R2 Jarry |
R3 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 18 | 40 | |
| pts | 83-72 | 60-44 | 143-116 | |
| Total points | 155 | 104 | 259 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/77 | 35/53 | 86/130 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/51 | 27/35 | 62/86 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 77% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 12/18 | 30/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 67% | 68% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/16 | 3/4 | 5/20 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 75% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3/3 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (6-3 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-3 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Hugo DellienDellien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger RuneRune (7-5 5-7 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Laslo DjereDjere (7-62 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Casper RuudRuud (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
