Alvaro Guillen Meza and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will play each other in the final of the Santos Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on INDOOR 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida is the pick to win this match.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida -> 1.58
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
This will be the 4th time that Alvaro Guillen Meza and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Pucinelli De Almeida (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pucinelli De Almeida won 6-1 3-6 6-0 in the 1st round in the Porto Alegre Challenger back in April 2025.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
21 - 11win/loss
179
179
LWWWWWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-12 | 0-1 | 22-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-32 | 1-3 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 0-1 | 51-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 32-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, Guillen Meza reached the final after beating Zdenek Kolar 6-4 6-4, Bruno Kuzuhara 1-6 6-4 6-4, Renzo Olivo 6-3 6-3 and Franco Roncadelli 6-2 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, Guillen Meza had a good straight sets win against Roncadelli (6-2 7-64). During the match, Guillen Meza scored 79 points vs Roncadelli’s 63. Guillen Meza was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guillen Meza recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alvaro Guillen Meza lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Guillen Meza put 74% of his first serves in, winning 54% (31/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the 2nd serve. Alvaro broke Roncadelli 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Ecuadorian has lost 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Guillen Meza has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (152-105). 20-10 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Guillen Meza has a composed148-95 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Ecuadorian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and the Campinas Challenger.
The Ecuadorian has an aggregate 20-11 win-loss record in 2025, 20-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 17-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 38-27 | 0-1 | 38-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-25 | 1-3 | 19-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-29 | 1-3 | 27-24 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 72-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 306, the Brazilian got to the final after defeating Eduardo Ribeiro 6-7(4) 6-2 6-0, Nicolas Alvarez Varona 6-1 4-6 6-1, Lautaro Midon 6-2 6-3 and Nicolas Kicker 7-5 7-5.
In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Kicker (7-5 7-5). During the match Pucinelli De Almeida scored 84 points vs Kicker’s 80. The Brazilian was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Pucinelli De Almeida fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pucinelli De Almeida put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (41/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Kicker 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matheus has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Matheus’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Asuncion Challenger,the Porto Alegre Challenger and the Santos Challenger.
Matheus has a composed 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Matheus has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guillen Meza | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 92 |
| Pts | 303-268 | 339-281 |
| Total Points | 571 | 620 |
| Winners | 120 | 143 |
| %Winners | 40% | 42% |
Both Guillen Meza and Pucinelli De Almeida played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alvaro Guillen Meza conceded 1 set, while Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida surrendered 2 sets. Guillen Meza has played 1 set(s) less than Pucinelli De Almeida (9 vs 10). Therefore, Guillen Meza played 6 games less than Pucinelli De Almeida. Guillen Meza scored 120 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Matheus scored 143 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guillen Meza | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 212/286 | 202/330 |
| %1st in | 74% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 120/212 | 143/202 |
| %1st pts | 57% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 38/74 | 60/128 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 47% |
Guillen Meza made 4 aces (1 per match). Pucinelli De Almeida bagged 12 aces (3 per match). Guillen Meza won 57% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Pucinelli De Almeida won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guillen Meza | Pucinelli De Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 21 |
| Converted | 23/40 | 21/34 |
| % Converted | 58% | 62% |
| Conceded | 34 | 22 |
| Saved | 18 | 15 |
| % Saved | 53% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 16 | 7 |
Guillen Meza broke his opponents 23 times with a 58% conversion rate. Alvaro conceded his serve 16 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Matheus broke his opponents 21 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Guillen Meza | ||||||
| R1 Kolar |
R2 Kuzuhara |
1/4 Olivo |
1/2 Roncadelli |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 18 | 21 | 86 | |
| pts | 64-59 | 84-89 | 76-57 | 79-63 | 303-268 | |
| Total points | 123 | 173 | 133 | 142 | 571 | |
| Winners | 22 | 36 | 31 | 31 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 73/88 | 46/66 | 57/77 | 212/286 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 83% | 70% | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 22/36 | 36/73 | 31/46 | 31/57 | 120/212 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 49% | 67% | 54% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/19 | 6/15 | 12/20 | 14/20 | 38/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 40% | 60% | 70% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 7/7 | 4/10 | 6/9 | 23/40 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 100% | 40% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 3/10 | 8/9 | 7/11 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 30% | 89% | 64% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | |
| Pucinelli De Almeida | ||||||
| R1 Ribeiro |
R2 Alvarez Varona |
1/4 Midon |
1/2 Kicker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-2 6-0 | 6-1 4-6 6-1 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 24 | 17 | 24 | 92 | |
| pts | 92-76 | 100-83 | 63-42 | 84-80 | 339-281 | |
| Total points | 168 | 183 | 105 | 164 | 620 | |
| Winners | 41 | 34 | 27 | 41 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 34% | 43% | 49% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19 | |
| 1st in | 54/85 | 51/97 | 32/51 | 65/97 | 202/330 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 53% | 63% | 67% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 41/54 | 34/51 | 27/32 | 41/65 | 143/202 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 84% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 23/46 | 9/19 | 13/32 | 60/128 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 50% | 47% | 41% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/12 | 4/7 | 5/6 | 21/34 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 50% | 57% | 83% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 22 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 9/11 | 1/2 | 4/7 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 82% | 50% | 57% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-3) – H2H and prediction
