Diana Shnaider and Elise Mertens will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.74
Elise Mertens -> 2.09
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Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 3rd time that Diana Shnaider and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Mertens won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2025.
Diana Shnaider
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11 (career-high), Shnaider got to the 4th round after defeating Caroline Dolehide 6-0 6-0 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-3 6-3). During the match, Shnaider scored 68 points vs Cristian’s 57. Shnaider was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shnaider made 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Diana Shnaider lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 62% of her first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Diana broke Cristian 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shnaider hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points she played.
Shnaider has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 67% of her matches (162-78). 6-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shnaider has an aggregate87-31 match record in the last 7 years on clay.
Diana has an aggregate 13-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-11 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 5-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Mertens got to the 4th round after defeating Suzan Lamens 3-6 6-2 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Pegula (7-5 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 70 points vs Pegula’s 50. Elise was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Mertens made 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 51% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the 2nd serve. Elise was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Pegula 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mertens has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Singapore where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.
Mertens has an overall 21-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shnaider | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 45 |
| Pts | 122-80 | 166-130 |
| Total Points | 202 | 296 |
| Winners | 52 | 58 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Shnaider and Mertens played 2 matches. At the moment, Elise Mertens conceded 1 set while Diana Shnaider hasn’t lost a set so far. Shnaider has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shnaider played 15 games less than Mertens. Diana scored 52 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian fired 58 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shnaider | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 79/118 | 81/152 |
| %1st in | 67% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 52/79 | 58/81 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 22/39 | 38/71 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 54% |
Shnaider managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Mertens managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Shnaider won 66% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shnaider | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 10 |
| Converted | 10/13 | 10/17 |
| % Converted | 77% | 59% |
| Conceded | 12 | 20 |
| Saved | 11 | 15 |
| % Saved | 92% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Diana broke her opponents 10 times with a 77% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Mertens conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Shnaider | ||||
| R2 Dolehide |
R3 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 18 | 30 | |
| pts | 54-23 | 68-57 | 122-80 | |
| Total points | 77 | 125 | 202 | |
| Winners | 23 | 29 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 6 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/47 | 44/71 | 79/118 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 62% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 23/35 | 29/44 | 52/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 15/27 | 22/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 4/6 | 10/13 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 67% | 77% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 11 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 10/11 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 91% | 96% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R2 Lamens |
R3 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 19 | 45 | |
| pts | 96-80 | 70-50 | 166-130 | |
| Total points | 176 | 120 | 296 | |
| Winners | 34 | 24 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 46/83 | 35/69 | 81/152 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 51% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 24/35 | 58/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/37 | 22/34 | 38/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 65% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 4/4 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 100% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 20 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 7/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 88% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWLWWW
WWWWWLLWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (5-7 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (w/o) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (2-6 6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sofia KeninKenin (3-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Elena RybakinaRybakina (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (5-7 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Clara TausonTauson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-2) – H2H and prediction
