H2H, prediction of Diana Shnaider vs Elise Mertens in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 12th May 2025

PREVIEW. Rome. Shnaider and Mertens will face off in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 12th of May

Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Elise Mertens

Diana Shnaider and Elise Mertens will fight against each other in the 4th round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Diana Shnaider who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Diana Shnaider is the pick to win this match.
Diana Shnaider -> 1.74
Elise Mertens -> 2.09

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Diana Shnaider vs. Elise Mertens

This will be the 3rd time that Diana Shnaider and Elise Mertens square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Mertens (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Mertens won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Stuttgart back in April 2025.

Diana Shnaider

Diana Shnaider
Diana Shnaider

13 - 11win/loss

Hard
7-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-3
Rank
12
High
11
LWLWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-13 7-8 8-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 55-23 31-15 15-5 0-0 9-3 0-0
2023 25-22 14-13 10-8 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 58-17 11-4 46-11 1-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-3 0-0 8-2 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 11 (career-high), Shnaider got to the 4th round after defeating Caroline Dolehide 6-0 6-0 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-3 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Shnaider had a good straight sets win against Cristian (6-3 6-3). During the match, Shnaider scored 68 points vs Cristian’s 57. Shnaider was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Shnaider made 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Diana Shnaider lost the serve once and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Shnaider put 62% of her first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the 2nd serve. Diana broke Cristian 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shnaider hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 60% of the points she played.

Shnaider has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 67% of her matches (162-78). 6-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Shnaider has an aggregate87-31 match record in the last 7 years on clay.

Diana has an aggregate 13-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Shnaider
Rome
Shnaider's Record

Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens

21 - 9win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
5-0
Clay
6-3
Rank
24
High
12
LLWWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-11 10-6 6-5 5-0 0-0 0-0
2024 28-25 18-15 6-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2023 30-22 24-16 5-4 0-0 1-2 0-0
2022 29-23 19-14 4-3 2-2 4-4 0-0
2021 33-20 20-10 9-5 2-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Mertens got to the 4th round after defeating Suzan Lamens 3-6 6-2 6-3 and Jessica Pegula 7-5 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Pegula (7-5 6-1). During the match Mertens scored 70 points vs Pegula’s 50. Elise was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Mertens made 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Elise Mertens lost the serve once and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Mertens put 51% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the 2nd serve. Elise was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Pegula 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mertens has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Singapore where she overcame Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.

Mertens has an overall 21-9 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See her history.

Mertens
Rome
Mertens's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Shnaider
E.Mertens
2h:21
2h:21
Time on court​
!
3h:46
3h:46
1h:31
1h:31
Last match​
1h:24
1h:24
2
2
Match played
2
2
30
30
Games Played​
45
45
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
122
122
Total points​
166
166
61
61
Avg point​
83
83
52
52
Winners
58
58
26
26
Avg Winners​
29
29
43%
43%
Ratio winners
35%
35%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
10
10
3.5
3.5
Avg Aces
5
5
5
5
Double Faults
8
8
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
4
4
52/79
52/79
1st won total​
58/81
58/81
66%
66%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
22/39
22/39
2nd won total​
38/71
38/71
56%
56%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
10/13
10/13
BP won
10/17
10/17
5/6.5
5/6.5
Avg BP won
5/8.5
5/8.5
!
77%
77%
Won
!
59%
59%
12
12
Conceded
20
20
6
6
Avg Conceded
10
10
1
1
Broken
5
5
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
11
11
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Shnaider Mertens
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 30 45
Pts 122-80 166-130
Total Points 202 296
Winners 52 58
%Winners 43% 35%

Both Shnaider and Mertens played 2 matches. At the moment, Elise Mertens conceded 1 set while Diana Shnaider hasn’t lost a set so far. Shnaider has played 1 set(s) less than Mertens (4 vs 5). Therefore, Shnaider played 15 games less than Mertens. Diana scored 52 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian fired 58 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve Shnaider Mertens
Aces 7 10
Avg per match 3.5 5
1st in 79/118 81/152
%1st in 67% 53%
1st pts 52/79 58/81
%1st pts 66% 72%
2nd pts 22/39 38/71
%2nd pts 56% 54%

Shnaider managed to score 7 aces (3.5 per match). Mertens managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Shnaider won 66% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Shnaider Mertens
Won 10 10
Converted 10/13 10/17
% Converted 77% 59%
Conceded 12 20
Saved 11 15
% Saved 92% 75%
Times Broken 1 5

Diana broke her opponents 10 times with a 77% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve once and she saved 92% of the break points that she conceded. The Belgian broke her opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Mertens conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Shnaider
R2
Dolehide
R3
Cristian
Total
Score 6-0 6-0 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 12 18 30
pts 54-23 68-57 122-80
Total points 77 125 202
Winners 23 29 52
%Winners 43% 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 6 7
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 35/47 44/71 79/118
% 1st in 74% 62% 67%
1st pts 23/35 29/44 52/79
% 1st pts 66% 66% 66%
2nd pts 7/12 15/27 22/39
% 2nd pts 58% 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/7 4/6 10/13
Converted % 86% 67% 77%
Conceded 1 11 12
Saved 1/1 10/11 11
Saved % 100% 91% 96%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Mertens
R2
Lamens
R3
Pegula
Total
Score 3-6 6-2 6-3 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 19 45
pts 96-80 70-50 166-130
Total points 176 120 296
Winners 34 24 58
%Winners 35% 34% 35%
SERVE
Aces 6 4 10
Double Faults 7 1 8
1st in 46/83 35/69 81/152
% 1st in 55% 51% 53%
1st pts 34/46 24/35 58/81
% 1st pts 74% 69% 72%
2nd pts 16/37 22/34 38/71
% 2nd pts 43% 65% 54%
Breaks
Won 6 4 10
Converted 6/13 4/4 10/17
Converted % 46% 100% 59%
Conceded 12 8 20
Saved 8/12 7/8 15
Saved % 67% 88% 78%
Times Broken 4 1 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Shnaider
LWLWWWLWWL
Mertens
LLWWLWLWWL
2025 2024 2023
15 - 13
21 - 11
7-8
Hard
10-6
0-0
I Hard
5-0
8-5
Clay
6-5

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw