Alex De Minaur and Hugo Dellien will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on GRAND STAND ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.111
Hugo Dellien -> 6.5

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Hugo Dellien

This will be the 3rd time that Alex De Minaur and Hugo Dellien play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, De Minaur won 6-1 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in at the Wimbledon back in 2022.

Alex De Minaur

Alex De Minaur

25 - 9win/loss

Hard
12-5
I Hard
5-1
Clay
8-3
Rank
9
High
6
LWWLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-10 12-5 9-4 5-1 0-0 0-0
2024 47-21 19-6 10-5 11-9 7-1 0-0
2023 46-26 26-12 4-5 10-6 6-3 0-0
2022 47-25 19-10 9-6 12-5 7-4 0-0
2021 25-25 10-10 4-5 3-7 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 8, the Australian reached the 3rd round after beating Luca Nardi 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-4 7-5). During the match, De Minaur scored 79 points vs Nardi’s 69. The Australian was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur managed to score 5 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Alex De Minaur lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, De Minaur put 57% of his first serves in, winning 88% (29/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (9/25) on the 2nd serve. De Minaur broke Nardi 4 times after converting 25% of his break points (4/16).

De Minaur has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (384-214). 8-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has a composed 67-51 match record in the last years on clay.

Alex’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Rotterdam.

Alex has an aggregate 25-9 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
De Minaur's Record

Hugo Dellien

Hugo Dellien

18 - 12win/loss

Hard
2-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
16-11
Rank
96
High
64
WWLWLWLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-13 2-1 18-12 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-28 1-2 44-25 0-0 1-1 0-0
2023 36-27 0-3 36-23 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 32-18 0-0 32-17 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 45-27 3-5 41-21 0-0 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 103, Hugo got to the 3rd round after beating Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-3 6-7(1) 6-3, Vilius Gaubas 7-5 6-3 and Thiago Seyboth Wild 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Seyboth Wild, Hugo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Dellien scored 94 points vs Seyboth Wild’s 82. Dellien was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Dellien struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Hugo Dellien lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Dellien put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (40/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve. The Bolivian broke Seyboth Wild 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Bolivian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Hugo’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Rosario Challenger.

The Bolivian has an overall 18-12 win-loss record in 2025, 16-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021. See his history.

Rome
Dellien's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.De Minaur
H.Dellien
1h:57
1h:57
Time on court​
!
4h:31
4h:31
1h:57
1h:57
Last match​
!
2h:15
2h:15
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
22
22
Games Played​
81
81
2
2
Set played​​
8
8
79
79
Total points​
199
199
79
79
Avg point​
66.3
66.3
29
29
Winners
89
89
29
29
Avg Winners​
29.7
29.7
37%
37%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
7
7
5
5
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
0
0
Double Faults
2
2
0
0
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
29/33
29/33
1st won total​
89/122
89/122
!
88%
88%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
9/25
9/25
2nd won total​
30/55
30/55
!
36%
36%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
4/16
4/16
BP won
8/23
8/23
4/16
4/16
Avg BP won
2.7/7.7
2.7/7.7
!
25%
25%
Won
35%
35%
3
3
Conceded
10
10
3
3
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
2
2
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
1
1
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points De Minaur Dellien
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 22 60
Pts 79-69 199-170
Total Points 148 369
Winners 29 89
%Winners 37% 45%

De Minaur played 1 match while Dellien competed in 2 matches. Dellien started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hugo Dellien lost 2 sets while Alex De Minaur hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Minaur has played 4 set(s) less than Dellien (2 vs 6). Therefore, De Minaur played 38 games less than Dellien. De Minaur scored 29 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Bolivian made 89 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve De Minaur Dellien
Aces 5 7
Avg per match 5 3.5
1st in 33/58 122/177
%1st in 57% 69%
1st pts 29/33 89/122
%1st pts 88% 73%
2nd pts 9/25 30/55
%2nd pts 36% 55%

De Minaur scored 5 aces . Dellien made 7 aces (3.5 per match). De Minaur won 88% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Dellien won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks De Minaur Dellien
Won 4 8
Converted 4/16 8/23
% Converted 25% 35%
Conceded 3 10
Saved 1 5
% Saved 33% 50%
Times Broken 2 5

The Australian broke his opponent 4 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. The Bolivian broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Dellien conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
R2
Nardi
Total
Score 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 79-69 79-69
Total points 148 148
Winners 29 29
%Winners 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 33/58 33/58
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 29/33 29/33
% 1st pts 88% 88%
2nd pts 9/25 9/25
% 2nd pts 36% 36%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/16 4/16
Converted % 25% 25%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 1/3 1
Saved % 33% 33%
Times Broken 2 2
Dellien
Q1
Huesler
Q3
Gaubas
R2
Seyboth
Total
Score 6-3 6-71 6-3 7-5 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 31 21 29 81
pts 105-88 94-82 199-170
Total points 193 0 176 369
Winners 49 40 89
%Winners 47% 0% 43% 45%
SERVE
Aces 5 0 2 7
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 65/89 / 57/88 122/177
% 1st in 73% 0% 65% 69%
1st pts 49/65 / 40/57 89/122
% 1st pts 75% 0% 70% 73%
2nd pts 13/24 / 17/31 30/55
% 2nd pts 54% 0% 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/14 / 4/9 8/23
Converted % 29% 0% 44% 35%
Conceded 6 4 10
Saved 4/6 0/ 1/4 5
Saved % 67% 25% 92%
Times Broken 2 3 5

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw