H2H, prediction of Casper Ruud vs Matteo Berrettini in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 12th May 2025

PREVIEW. Rome. Ruud and Berrettini will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 12th of May

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Casper Ruud who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Casper Ruud is the pick to win this match.
Casper Ruud -> 1.53
Matteo Berrettini -> 2.5

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 8th time that Casper Ruud and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 4-3 for Ruud (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Berrettini won 6-4 6-4 in the R in Australia back in 2023.

Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud – Australia 03-January-2023

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud

22 - 6win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
6-1
Clay
10-2
Rank
7
High
2
LWWWWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-7 6-3 12-3 6-1 0-0 0-0
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 7, the Norwegian got to the 3rd round after beating Alexander Bublik 6-4 4-6 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Ruud defeated Bublik (6-4 4-6 6-3). During the match, Ruud scored 93 points vs Bublik’s 80. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ruud scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Casper Ruud was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (37/48) of his 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Ruud broke Bublik 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Ruud has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (413-217). 10-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ruud has an overall 240-102 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Madrid where he beat Jack Draper in the final 7-5 3-6 6-4.

Casper has a compiled 22-6 win-loss record in 2025, 10-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Ruud
Rome
Ruud's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini

13 - 9win/loss

Hard
9-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
4-2
Rank
28
High
6
LWLWLWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-10 9-6 4-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 30, Berrettini reached the 3rd round after defeating Jacob Fearnley 6-4 7-6(0).

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Fearnley (6-4 7-60). During the match Berrettini scored 82 points vs Fearnley’s 65. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Berrettini scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Fearnley twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

The Italian has an aggregate 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

Berrettini
Rome
Berrettini's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
M.Berrettini
1h:56
1h:56
Time on court​
1h:56
1h:56
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
1h:56
1h:56
1
1
Match played
1
1
29
29
Games Played​
23
23
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
93
93
Total points​
82
82
93
93
Avg point​
82
82
37
37
Winners
34
34
37
37
Avg Winners​
34
34
40%
40%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
6
6
7
7
Avg Aces
6
6
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
37/48
37/48
1st won total​
34/44
34/44
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
19/30
19/30
2nd won total​
15/22
15/22
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
!
68%
68%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
2/7
2/7
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
2/7
2/7
38%
38%
Won
!
29%
29%
2
2
Conceded
2
2
2
2
Avg Conceded
2
2
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
1
1
0
0
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Berrettini
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 29 23
Pts 93-80 82-65
Total Points 173 147
Winners 37 34
%Winners 40% 41%

Both Ruud and Berrettini played 1 match. At the moment, Casper Ruud lost 1 set while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t lost a set so far. Ruud has played 1 set more than Berrettini (3 vs 2). Therefore, Ruud played 6 games more than Berrettini. Casper scored 37 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini fired 34 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Berrettini
Aces 7 6
Avg per match 7 6
1st in 48/78 44/66
%1st in 62% 67%
1st pts 37/48 34/44
%1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 19/30 15/22
%2nd pts 63% 68%

Ruud struck 7 aces . Berrettini fired 6 aces . Ruud won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Berrettini
Won 3 2
Converted 3/8 2/7
% Converted 38% 29%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 0 1
% Saved 0% 50%
Times Broken 2 1

Ruud broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Casper dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Bublik		 Total
Score 6-4 4-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 29 29
pts 93-80 93-80
Total points 173 173
Winners 37 37
%Winners 40% 40%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 48/78 48/78
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 37/48 37/48
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 19/30 19/30
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 0/2 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 2 2
Berrettini
R2
Fearnley		 Total
Score 6-4 7-60
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 23 23
pts 82-65 82-65
Total points 147 147
Winners 34 34
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 44/66 44/66
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 34/44 34/44
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 15/22 15/22
% 2nd pts 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/7 2/7
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Head 2 Head

Casper Ruud
  • 0Slam
  • 13Main
  • 1Chall
  • 2Minor
Matteo Berrettini
  • 0Slam
  • 10Main
  • 3Chall
  • 2Minor

Casper
Ruud

5:3

Matteo
Berrettini

Rank

7

High

2

1Hard2

4Clay1

Rank

28

High

6

Win Loss
Ruud
LWWWWWWWWW
Berrettini
LWLWLWWLWW
2025 2024 2023
22 - 7
13 - 10
6-3
Hard
9-6
4-1
I Hard
0-1
12-3
Clay
4-3

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ruud
Casper Ruud
More Stats
Click here
Berrettini Matteo Berrettini