Jannik Sinner and Jesper De Jong will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.073
Jesper De Jong -> 8.2
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Jesper De Jong
This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Jesper De Jong play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Sinner won 6-2 6-2 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2024.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Jesper De Jong – Australian Open 17-January-2024
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-1 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Jannik reached the 3rd round after beating Mariano Navone 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Sinner had a good straight sets win against Navone (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 67 points vs Navone’s 56. Sinner was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sinner scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 60% of his first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Sinner broke Navone 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 75% of his matches (354-121). 1-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has an aggregate86-38 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 6-3.
The Italian has a compiled 8-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Jesper De Jong
17 - 14win/loss
87
87
LWWLWLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-15 | 1-3 | 13-10 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-25 | 12-5 | 33-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-23 | 19-4 | 30-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-28 | 12-7 | 10-13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-29 | 2-6 | 27-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 93 (career-high), De got to the 3rd round after defeating Harold Mayot 6-2 6-4, Thiago Seyboth Wild 7-6(5) 6-4, Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-4 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-0 6-2.
In the 2nd round, De had a good straight sets win against Davidovich Fokina (6-0 6-2). During the match De scored 57 points vs Davidovich Fokina’s 35. Jesper was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, De struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Jesper De Jong lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, De put 67% of his first serves in, winning 77% (23/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (5/15) on the 2nd serve. De broke Davidovich Fokina 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
De started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
The Dutch’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Murcia Challenger.
The Dutch has an overall 17-14 win-loss record in 2025, 13-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | De |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 50 |
| Pts | 67-56 | 194-134 |
| Total Points | 123 | 328 |
| Winners | 24 | 79 |
| %Winners | 36% | 41% |
Sinner played 1 match while De competed in 3 matches. De started his run from the qualifications while Sinner had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Sinner has played 4 set(s) less than De (2 vs 6). Therefore, Sinner played 31 games less than De. Sinner scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, De struck 79 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | De |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 98/158 |
| %1st in | 60% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 79/98 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 26/60 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 43% |
Sinner struck 1 ace . De also fired 13 aces (4.3 per match). Sinner won 63% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, De won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | De |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 14 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 43% | 54% |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 |
| Saved | 2 | 8 |
| % Saved | 67% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Jesper broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Jesper conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R2 Navone |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 67-56 | 67-56 | |
| Total points | 123 | 123 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 38/63 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 17/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| De | ||||||
| Q1 Mayot |
Q3 Seyboth Wild |
R1 Shevchenko |
R2 Davidovich Fokina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-65 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-0 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 23 | 18 | 14 | 73 | |
| pts | 67-50 | – | 70-49 | 57-35 | 194-134 | |
| Total points | 117 | 0 | 119 | 92 | 328 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 23 | 79 | ||
| %Winners | 40% | 0% | 41% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 35/59 | / | 33/54 | 30/45 | 98/158 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 0% | 61% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/35 | / | 29/33 | 23/30 | 79/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 0% | 88% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | / | 11/21 | 5/15 | 26/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 0% | 52% | 33% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 6 | 14 | ||
| Converted | 5/7 | / | 3/7 | 6/12 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 0% | 43% | 50% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | ||
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/ | 3/3 | 3/4 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 100% | 75% | 225% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | ||
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWW
LWWLWLWLLW Tennis Scores in Rome
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger RuneRune (7-5 5-7 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur FilsFils – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (2-6 6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hugo DellienDellien – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Corentin MoutetMoutet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
