Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.25
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.94

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Musetti and Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Nakashima won 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.

Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Musetti – U.S. Open 30-August-2024

Lorenzo Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti

18 - 6win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
12-2
Rank
8
High
8
WLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 21-7 6-4 15-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 46-30 13-12 18-10 3-5 12-3 0-0
2023 32-29 10-10 16-11 0-5 6-3 0-0
2022 44-30 11-10 21-7 12-10 0-3 0-0
2021 36-31 9-8 17-12 10-10 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Musetti reached the 3rd round after beating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-3 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 69 points vs Virtanen’s 49. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (237-167). 11-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an overall130-68 record in the last 8 years on clay.

Musetti’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Carlo.

The Italian has an overall 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Musetti's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

14 - 13win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
0-1
Clay
4-5
Rank
29
High
29
LLWLWLLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-16 10-7 6-8 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 29 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Jordan Thompson w/o.

In the 2nd round, Nakashima defeated Thompson (w/o). During the match Nakashima and Thompson scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 9 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Nakashima was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

Nakashima’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.

Brandon has a compiled 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Rome
Nakashima's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

  • Alex De MinaurDe MinaurLuca NardiNardi (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerMariano NavoneNavone (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Sebastian KordaKordaAleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Casper RuudRuudAlexander BublikBublik (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Hugo DellienDellienThiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Tommy PaulPaulRoberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Fabian MarozsanMarozsanAndrey RublevRublev (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Sebastian OfnerOfnerFrances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
  • Hubert HurkaczHurkaczPedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
  • Marcos Giron
    GironTaylor FritzFritz (7-64 7-63) – See score progression
  • Jesper De JongDe JongAlejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
  • Matteo BerrettiniBerrettiniJacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 7-60) – See score progression
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloNicolas JarryJarry (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
  • Jakub MensikMensikMatteo GiganteGigante (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
  • Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar ClarBen SheltonShelton (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Tomas MachacMachacLearner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Arthur FilsFilsTallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Brandon NakashimaNakashimaJordan ThompsonThompson (w/o) – See score progression
  • Alexei PopyrinPopyrinCarlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
  • Laslo DjereDjereAlex MichelsenMichelsen (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
  • Vit KoprivaKoprivaSebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipasAlexandre MullerMuller (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
  • Holger RuneRuneFrancisco ComesanaComesana (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Lorenzo MusettiMusettiOtto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Daniil MedvedevMedvedevCameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Karen KhachanovKhachanovRoman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
  • Vilius GaubasGaubasDenis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Corentin MoutetMoutetUgo HumbertHumbert (6-3 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
  • Jack DraperDraperLuciano DarderiDarderi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Carlos AlcarazAlcarazDusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexander ZverevZverevCamilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Francesco PassaroPassaroGrigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw