Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.25
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.94
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 3rd time that Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Musetti and Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Nakashima won 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Musetti – U.S. Open 30-August-2024
Lorenzo Musetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-7 | 6-4 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9 (career-high), Musetti reached the 3rd round after beating Otto Virtanen 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Virtanen (6-3 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 69 points vs Virtanen’s 49. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti scored just 1 ace during the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Musetti broke Virtanen 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Musetti has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (237-167). 11-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has an overall130-68 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Musetti’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Carlo.
The Italian has an overall 17-6 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Brandon Nakashima
14 - 13win/loss
29
29
LLWLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-16 | 10-7 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29 (career-high), the American got to the 3rd round after defeating Jordan Thompson w/o.
In the 2nd round, Nakashima defeated Thompson (w/o). During the match Nakashima and Thompson scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 9 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Nakashima was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Nakashima wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Nakashima’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.
Brandon has a compiled 14-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022, 2023 and 2024. See his history.
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLWWW
LLWLWLLWWL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Luca NardiNardi (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo DellienDellien – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Taylor FritzFritz (7-64 7-63) – See score progression
- Jesper De JongDe Jong – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 7-60) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Ben SheltonShelton (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jordan ThompsonThompson (w/o) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
- Laslo DjereDjere – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hugo DellienDellien – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Laslo DjereDjere – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
