Valentin Vacherot and Francesco Maestrelli will square off in the final of the Francavilla Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Vacherot who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Valentin Vacherot is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Vacherot -> 1.41
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Valentin Vacherot vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Valentin Vacherot and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Valentin Vacherot
22 - 11win/loss
237
110
LWLWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-13 | 6-6 | 17-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-13 | 19-3 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 6-4 | 49-25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-22 | 27-12 | 18-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-14 | 36-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 262, Vacherot got to the final after defeating Clement Chidekh 6-1 6-0, Alexey Vatutin 6-3 7-5, Elias Ymer 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Mark Lajal 1-6 6-3 6-1.
In the semifinal against Lajal, The Monegasque recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-1). During the match, Vacherot scored 84 points vs Lajal’s 79. Vacherot was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Vacherot managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Valentin Vacherot lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Vacherot put 73% of his first serves in, winning 60% (33/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Valentin broke Lajal 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Vacherot has lost 2 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Vacherot has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of his matches (252-129). 16-5 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Vacherot has an overall 134-71 match record in the last years on clay.
Valentin’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Francavilla Challenger.
Valentin has an overall 22-11 win-loss record in 2025, 16-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
Vacherot has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
13 - 9win/loss
229
149
LLWWWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 3-3 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, the Italian got to the final after defeating Corentin Denolly 7-5 7-5, Radu Albot 2-6 6-3 6-2, Benoit Paire 1-6 6-0 6-1 and Dominic Stricker 3-6 7-6(7) ret..
In the semifinal against Stricker, Francesco had a free pass after Stricker retired on a 3-6 7-67 . scoreline.
Francesco’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Francavilla Challenger.
Maestrelli has an aggregate 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Vacherot | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 84 | 91 |
| Pts | 317-250 | 324-289 |
| Total Points | 567 | 613 |
| Winners | 119 | 128 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both Vacherot and Maestrelli played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Valentin Vacherot dropped 2 sets, while Francesco Maestrelli lost 3 sets. Vacherot has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (10 vs 11). Therefore, Vacherot played 7 games less than Maestrelli. Vacherot scored 119 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian made 128 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Vacherot | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 171/269 | 184/292 |
| %1st in | 64% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 119/171 | 128/184 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 54/98 | 50/108 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 46% |
Vacherot blasted 16 aces (4 per match). Maestrelli recorded 20 aces (5 per match). Vacherot won 70% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Vacherot | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 17 |
| Converted | 19/38 | 17/39 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 31 | 27 |
| Saved | 23 | 15 |
| % Saved | 74% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 12 |
The Monegasque broke his opponents 19 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Monegasque surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded. Francesco broke his opponents 17 times with a 44% conversion rate. Maestrelli conceded his serve 12 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Vacherot | ||||||
| R1 Chidekh |
R2 Vatutin |
1/4 Ymer |
1/2 Lajal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-0 | 6-3 7-5 | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 84 | |
| pts | 59-27 | 76-61 | 98-83 | 84-79 | 317-250 | |
| Total points | 86 | 137 | 181 | 163 | 567 | |
| Winners | 28 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 33% | 34% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/49 | 31/61 | 48/84 | 55/75 | 171/269 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 51% | 57% | 73% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 25/31 | 33/48 | 33/55 | 119/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 81% | 69% | 60% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 16/30 | 21/36 | 10/20 | 54/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 53% | 58% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/7 | 5/9 | 5/14 | 19/38 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 57% | 56% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 31 | |
| Saved | 8/8 | 1/3 | 6/9 | 8/11 | 23 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 67% | 73% | 68% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Maestrelli | ||||||
| R1 Denolly |
R2 Albot |
1/4 Paire |
1/2 Stricker |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-0 6-1 | 3-6 7-67 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 91 | |
| pts | 89-74 | 88-83 | 71-51 | 76-81 | 324-289 | |
| Total points | 163 | 171 | 122 | 157 | 613 | |
| Winners | 34 | 42 | 24 | 28 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% | 34% | 37% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 42/62 | 57/94 | 37/56 | 48/80 | 184/292 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 66% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 42/57 | 24/37 | 28/48 | 128/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 74% | 65% | 58% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 16/37 | 14/19 | 13/32 | 50/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 43% | 74% | 41% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/8 | 5/11 | 4/5 | 17/39 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 45% | 80% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 27 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 7/9 | 3/5 | 5/10 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 78% | 60% | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
