Qinwen Zheng and Magdalena Frech will face off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.171
Magdalena Frech -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Magdalena Frech
This will be the 3rd time that Qinwen Zheng and Magdalena Frech face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Zheng and Frech (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Zheng won 6-1 7-5 in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2024.
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-8 | 7-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Qinwen reached the 3rd round after defeating Olga Danilovic 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Qinwen had a good straight sets win against Danilovic (6-1 6-4). During the match, Zheng scored 66 points vs Danilovic’s 49. Zheng was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zheng managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 60% of her first serves in, winning 76% (25/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Danilovic 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).
Zheng has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 70% of her matches (238-102). 3-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has an overall85-27 record in the last 9 years on clay.
Zheng has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Magdalena Frech
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-30 | 28-15 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-32 | 23-21 | 10-5 | 0-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-38 | 22-19 | 11-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 12-5 | 16-8 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 25, the Pole got to the 3rd round after defeating Victoria Azarenka 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (7-5 6-4). During the match Frech scored 79 points vs Azarenka’s 70. Frech was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Frech fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Magdalena Frech lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Frech put 60% of her first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (14/33) on the 2nd serve. Frech broke Azarenka 6 times after converting 55% of her break points (6/11).
Magdalena has a compiled 6-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 |
| Pts | 66-49 | 79-70 |
| Total Points | 115 | 149 |
| Winners | 25 | 31 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Zheng and Frech played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Zheng and Frech have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Zheng played 5 games less than Frech. The Chinese scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Magdalena made 31 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 5 |
| 1st in | 33/55 | 49/82 |
| %1st in | 60% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 31/49 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 14/33 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 42% |
Zheng recorded 4 aces . Frech managed to score 5 aces . Zheng won 76% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Frech won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Frech |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 6 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 56% | 55% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 |
Zheng broke her opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Qinwen lost her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Frech broke her opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Frech conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 43% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | |||
| R2 Danilovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 66-49 | 66-49 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/55 | 33/55 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 25/33 | 25/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 10/22 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Frech | |||
| R2 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 79-70 | 79-70 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/82 | 49/82 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/49 | 31/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/33 | 14/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWLLWW
LLWLWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (6-4 3-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Madison KeysKeys (2-6 6-2 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Jaqueline CristianCristian (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sofia KeninKenin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Marta KostyukKostyuk (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Magda LinetteLinette (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Clara TausonTauson (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (1-2) – H2H and prediction
