Daniil Medvedev and Alexei Popyrin will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on SUPERTENNIS ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.27
Alexei Popyrin -> 3.76

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexei Popyrin

This will be the 5^th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexei Popyrin square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Popyrin won 6-4 2-6 7-6(4) in the 2^nd round in Paris back in 2024.

Highlights Alexei Popyrin vs Daniil Medvedev – Paris 30-October-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 11, Medvedev reached the 3^rd round after defeating Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-4 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 71 points vs Norrie’s 56. Daniil was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was very effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Daniil broke Norrie 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Medvedev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (474-191). 5-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 56-38 record in the last years on clay.

Medvedev’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Marseille and Indian Wells.

The Russian has an overall 17-9 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Alexei Popyrin

Ranked no. 25, Alexei got to the 3^rd round after defeating Carlos Taberner 6-1 7-6(4).

In the 2^nd round, Popyrin had a good straight sets win against Taberner (6-1 7-6⁴). During the match Popyrin scored 70 points vs Taberner’s 57. The Australian was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Popyrin fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (32/45) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Taberner 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Popyrin has an aggregate 6-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Popyrin
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	20
Pts	71-56	70-57
Total Points	127	127
Winners	25	32
%Winners	35%	46%

Both Medvedev and Popyrin played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Popyrin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 2 games less than Popyrin. Daniil scored 25 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Alexei made 32 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Popyrin
Aces	4	9
Avg per match	4	9
1st in	34/50	45/68
%1st in	68%	66%
1st pts	25/34	32/45
%1st pts	74%	71%
2nd pts	10/16	15/23
%2nd pts	63%	65%

Medvedev bagged 4 aces . Popyrin managed to score 9 aces . Medvedev won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Popyrin won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Popyrin
Won	4	3
Converted	4/14	3/8
% Converted	29%	38%
Conceded	1	3
Saved	0	2
% Saved	0%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Medvedev broke his opponent 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Popyrin conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R2 Norrie	Total
Score	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	71-56	71-56
Total points	127	127
Winners	25	25
%Winners	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	34/50	34/50
% 1st in	68%	68%
1st pts	25/34	25/34
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	10/16	10/16
% 2nd pts	63%	63%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/14	4/14
Converted %	29%	29%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Popyrin
	R2 Taberner	Total
Score	6-1 7-64
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	70-57	70-57
Total points	127	127
Winners	32	32
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	9	9
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	45/68	45/68
% 1st in	66%	66%
1st pts	32/45	32/45
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	15/23	15/23
% 2nd pts	65%	65%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Taylor FritzFritz (7-6⁴ 7-6³) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 7-6⁰) – See score progression
• Francisco Cerundolo
  Cerundolo – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁴ 6-3) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-7² 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-4 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 7-6³) – See score progression
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasGaubas – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Laslo DjereDjere – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jordan ThompsonThompson (w/o) – See score progression
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 4-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Francisco ComesanaComesana (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Sebastian BaezBaez (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-2 6-7(2) 6-3) – See score progression
• Sebastian KordaKorda – Aleksandar VukicVukic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (6-4 7-6(0)) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Alexander BublikBublik (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Marcos GironGiron – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(4) 7-6(3)) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Matteo GiganteGigante (7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Andrey RublevRublev (7-5 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Learner TienTien (6-4 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hugo DellienDellien – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (5-3) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian OfnerOfner (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Casper RuudRuud (3-4) – H2H and prediction
• Marcos GironGiron – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Vit KoprivaKopriva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Laslo DjereDjere – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-3) – H2H and prediction