H2H, prediction of Holger Rune vs Corentin Moutet in Rome with odds, preview, pick | 11th May 2025

PREVIEW. Rome. Rune and Moutet will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 11th of May

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Corentin Moutet

Holger Rune and Corentin Moutet will square off in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.194
Corentin Moutet -> 4.65

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Corentin Moutet face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Moutet (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Rune won 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in Indian wells back in March 2025.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Corentin Moutet – Indian wells 07-March-2025

Holger Rune

Holger Rune
Holger Rune

17 - 10win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
2-2
Clay
6-3
Rank
10
High
4
LWLWWWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-11 9-5 6-4 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 10, Holger reached the 3rd round after defeating Francisco Comesana 3-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Comesana, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 117 points vs Comesana’s 115. Rune was extremely aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune scored 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune lost the serve twice and he saved 18 break points. Furthermore, Rune put 68% of his first serves in, winning 63% (59/93) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (21/43) on the 2nd serve. Holger broke Comesana 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Rune has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (268-140). 6-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rune has a composed128-58 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Barcelona where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Rune has a composed 17-10 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rune
Rome
Rune's Record

Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet

12 - 11win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-7
Rank
83
High
51
LWWWLWLLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-12 6-4 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 31-26 4-6 22-15 4-4 1-1 0-0
2023 19-25 5-10 3-6 7-4 4-5 0-0
2022 40-21 13-6 20-8 7-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-16 8-4 5-8 3-1 2-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 83, Corentin reached the 3rd round after defeating Rinky Hijikata 3-6 6-1 7-5 and Ugo Humbert 6-3 4-0 ret..

In the 2nd round against Humbert, Moutet had a free pass after Humbert retired on a 6-3 4-0 . scoreline.

Moutet has a composed 12-11 win-loss record in 2025, 6-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

Moutet
Rome
Moutet's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

H.Rune
C.Moutet
2h:57
2h:57
Time on court​
3h:42
3h:42
!
2h:57
2h:57
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
28
28
Games Played​
41
41
3
3
Set played​​
6
6
117
117
Total points​
151
151
117
117
Avg point​
75.5
75.5
59
59
Winners
52
52
59
59
Avg Winners​
26
26
50%
50%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
2
2
3
3
Avg Aces
1
1
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
59/93
59/93
1st won total​
52/83
52/83
63%
63%
1st won %
63%
63%
21/43
21/43
2nd won total​
34/57
34/57
49%
49%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
3/10
3/10
BP won
10/19
10/19
3/10
3/10
Avg BP won
5/9.5
5/9.5
30%
30%
Won
!
53%
53%
20
20
Conceded
18
18
20
20
Avg Conceded
9
9
2
2
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
18
18
Saved
14
14
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Moutet
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 3 6
Tot Games 28 41
Pts 117-115 151-127
Total Points 232 278
Winners 59 52
%Winners 50% 34%

Rune played 1 match while Moutet competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune surrendered 1 set, while Corentin Moutet dropped 1 set. Rune has played 3 set(s) less than Moutet (3 vs 6). Therefore, Rune played 13 games less than Moutet. Holger scored 59 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The French player blasted 52 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Moutet
Aces 3 2
Avg per match 3 1
1st in 93/136 83/140
%1st in 68% 59%
1st pts 59/93 52/83
%1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 21/43 34/57
%2nd pts 49% 60%

Rune struck 3 aces . Moutet blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Rune won 63% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Moutet
Won 3 10
Converted 3/10 10/19
% Converted 30% 53%
Conceded 20 18
Saved 18 14
% Saved 90% 78%
Times Broken 2 4

Holger broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Rune conceded his serve twice and he saved 90% of the break points that he conceded. Moutet broke his opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. Moutet conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R2
Comesana		 Total
Score 3-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 28 28
pts 117-115 117-115
Total points 232 232
Winners 59 59
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 93/136 93/136
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 59/93 59/93
% 1st pts 63% 63%
2nd pts 21/43 21/43
% 2nd pts 49% 49%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/10 3/10
Converted % 30% 30%
Conceded 20 20
Saved 18/20 18
Saved % 90% 90%
Times Broken 2 2
Moutet
R1
Hijikata		 R2
Humbert		 Total
Score 3-6 6-1 7-5 6-3 4-0 ret.
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 28 13 41
pts 97-91 54-36 151-127
Total points 188 90 278
Winners 38 14 52
%Winners 39% 26% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 1 2
Double Faults 6 1 7
1st in 62/101 21/39 83/140
% 1st in 61% 54% 59%
1st pts 38/62 14/21 52/83
% 1st pts 61% 67% 63%
2nd pts 23/39 11/18 34/57
% 2nd pts 59% 61% 60%
Breaks
Won 5 5 10
Converted 5/11 5/8 10/19
Converted % 45% 63% 53%
Conceded 12 6 18
Saved 9/12 5/6 14
Saved % 75% 83% 158%
Times Broken 3 1 4

Head 2 Head

Holger Rune
  • 0Slam
  • 5Main
  • 5Chall
  • 4Minor
Corentin Moutet
  • 0Slam
  • 0Main
  • 7Chall
  • 5Minor

Holger
Rune

1:3

Corentin
Moutet

Rank

10

High

4

1Hard2

0Clay1

Rank

83

High

51

Win Loss
Rune
LWLWWWWWLL
Moutet
LWWWLWLLLW
2025 2024 2023
16 - 10
13 - 12
9-5
Hard
6-4
1-1
I Hard
0-0
6-4
Clay
7-8

Tennis Scores in Rome

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Rune Holger Rune
More Stats
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Moutet Corentin Moutet