Alex Bolt and Fajing Sun will face off in the final of the Wuxi Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Bolt who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Bolt is the pick to win this match.
Alex Bolt -> 1.55
Fajing Sun -> 2.33
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Prediction and head to head Alex Bolt vs. Fajing Sun
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Bolt and Fajing Sun face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sun (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Sun won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the qualifications in Shanghai back in 2023.
Alex Bolt
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-78 | 26-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 21-56 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-22 | 22-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-10 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-18 | 7-6 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 236, Alex reached the final after defeating Evan Zhu 6-3 6-4, Constant Lestienne 6-3 1-6 6-2, Jie Cui 6-2 6-3 and Terence Atmane 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Atmane (6-3 6-4). During the match, Bolt scored 70 points vs Atmane’s 51. Alex was quite aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bolt fired 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Alex Bolt lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Bolt put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (16/20) on the 2nd serve. Bolt broke Atmane 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Bolt has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 51% of his matches (243-230). 9-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bolt has an aggregate 161-119 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Bolt’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Wuxi Challenger.
Alex has an overall 9-8 win-loss record in 2025, 9-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuxi Challenger
Fajing Sun
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-27 | 42-23 | 7-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-27 | 25-22 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 32-18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 289, Fajing reached the final after beating Li Tu 7-5 6-1, Antoine Escoffier 6-7(8) 6-1 7-5, Ryan Peniston 6-4 6-0 and Ilia Simakin 3-6 6-2 6-3.
In the semifinal against Simakin, Sun recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Sun scored 79 points vs Simakin’s 73. Sun was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Sun bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Fajing Sun lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Sun put 54% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Simakin 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sun has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Sun’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in M15 Luan and the Wuxi Challenger.
The Chinese has an aggregate 9-8 win-loss record in 2025, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuxi Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 93 |
| Pts | 270-215 | 326-264 |
| Total Points | 485 | 590 |
| Winners | 110 | 129 |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% |
Both Bolt and Sun played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex Bolt lost 1 set, while Fajing Sun lost 2 sets. Bolt has played 1 set(s) less than Sun (9 vs 10). Therefore, Bolt played 14 games less than Sun. Alex scored 110 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Fajing struck 129 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 152/251 | 182/301 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 110/152 | 129/182 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 63/99 | 66/119 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Bolt managed to score 25 aces (6.3 per match). Sun scored 16 aces (4 per match). Bolt won 72% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Sun won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bolt | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 19 |
| Converted | 12/24 | 19/37 |
| % Converted | 50% | 51% |
| Conceded | 19 | 20 |
| Saved | 15 | 13 |
| % Saved | 79% | 65% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
The Australian broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex lost his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Fajing broke his opponents 19 times with a 51% conversion rate. Fajing conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bolt | ||||||
| R1 Zhu |
R2 Lestienne |
1/4 Cui |
1/2 Atmane |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 1-6 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 24 | 17 | 19 | 79 | |
| pts | 57-48 | 86-83 | 57-33 | 70-51 | 270-215 | |
| Total points | 105 | 169 | 90 | 121 | 485 | |
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 23 | 24 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | 40% | 34% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 31/56 | 59/91 | 27/49 | 35/55 | 152/251 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 65% | 55% | 64% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 38/59 | 23/27 | 24/35 | 110/152 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 64% | 85% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/25 | 15/32 | 16/22 | 16/20 | 63/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 47% | 73% | 80% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 4/7 | 3/3 | 3/12 | 12/24 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 57% | 100% | 25% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/11 | 4/4 | 3/4 | 15 | |
| Saved % | – | 73% | 100% | 75% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Sun | ||||||
| R1 Tu |
R2 Escoffier |
1/4 Peniston |
1/2 Simakin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 | 6-78 6-1 7-5 | 6-4 6-0 | 3-6 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 32 | 16 | 26 | 93 | |
| pts | 75-58 | 113-94 | 59-39 | 79-73 | 326-264 | |
| Total points | 133 | 207 | 98 | 152 | 590 | |
| Winners | 29 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 129 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% | 34% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/73 | 69/105 | 26/43 | 43/80 | 182/301 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 60% | 54% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/44 | 50/69 | 20/26 | 30/43 | 129/182 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 72% | 77% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 20/36 | 9/17 | 22/37 | 66/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 56% | 53% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/11 | 5/10 | 4/6 | 19/37 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 45% | 50% | 67% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 3/5 | 0/1 | 9/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 60% | 0% | 82% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLLW
LWWWWWLLLL 
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- Fajing SunSun – Alex BoltBolt (1-0) – H2H and prediction
