Jasmine Paolini and Ons Jabeur will play each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.53
Ons Jabeur -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Ons Jabeur

This will be the 5th time that Jasmine Paolini and Ons Jabeur clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Paolini and Jabeur (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Paolini won 4-3 ret. in the 3rd round in Miami back in March 2025.

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

18 - 8win/loss

Hard
12-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-2
Rank
4
High
4
WWWWWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-8 12-6 10-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Paolini reached the 3rd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-3). During the match, Paolini scored 75 points vs Sun’s 56. Paolini was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 58% of her first serves in, winning 68% (23/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (16/25) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Sun 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).

Paolini has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (327-239). 5-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has a composed 160-96 match record in the last years on clay.

Jasmine’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Miami and Stuttgart.

Jasmine has an aggregate 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Paolini's Record

Ons Jabeur

Ons Jabeur

12 - 10win/loss

Hard
12-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
0-2
Rank
35
High
2
LLLWLLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-10 12-8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 16-14 2-6 8-5 0-0 6-3 0-0
2023 36-17 18-11 11-3 0-0 7-3 0-0
2022 47-17 19-12 17-4 0-0 11-1 0-0
2021 48-19 25-12 13-4 0-1 10-2 0-0

Ranked no. 36, Ons got to the 3rd round after defeating Petra Kvitova w/o.

In the 2nd round, Jabeur defeated Kvitova (w/o). During the match Jabeur and Kvitova scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 5 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Tunisian was not very aggressive do strike just winners.

Talking about serving, Jabeur couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ons Jabeur conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of her first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind her 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.

The Tunisian has an overall 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 0-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2022. See her history.

Rome
Jabeur's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

  • Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie FernandezAntonia RuzicRuzic (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
  • Magdalena FrechFrechVictoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Emma RaducanuRaducanuJil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Clara TausonTausonKatie VolynetsVolynets (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
  • Mirra AndreevaAndreevaEmiliana ArangoArango (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Qinwen ZhengZhengOlga DanilovicDanilovic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Veronika KudermetovaKudermetovaAmanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
  • Marta KostyukKostyukDaria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Elena RybakinaRybakinaEva LysLys (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
  • Sofia KeninKeninAnastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
  • Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa AndreescuDonna VekicVekic (6-1 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
  • Aryna SabalenkaSabalenkaAnastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Cori GauffGauffVictoria MbokoMboko (3-6 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
  • Emma NavarroNavarroKamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
  • Linda NoskovaNoskovaSonay KartalKartal (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Magda LinetteLinetteMaria SakkariSakkari (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Jaqueline CristianCristianYulia PutintsevaPutintseva (7-62 7-5) – See score progression
  • Iga SwiatekSwiatekElisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
  • Peyton StearnsStearnsAnna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Naomi OsakaOsakaViktorija GolubicGolubic (2-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
  • Hailey BaptisteBaptisteLiudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
  • Jelena OstapenkoOstapenkoRebecca SramkovaSramkova (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Elina SvitolinaSvitolinaJessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
  • Ons JabeurJabeurPetra KvitovaKvitova (w/o) – See score progression
  • Diana ShnaiderShnaiderCaroline DolehideDolehide (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
  • Danielle Rose CollinsRose CollinsElena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Marie BouzkovaBouzkovaBeatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
  • Laura SiegemundSiegemundLucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
  • Elise MertensMertensSuzan LamensLamens (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Jessica PegulaPegulaAshlyn KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jasmine PaoliniPaoliniLulu SunSun (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Madison KeysKeysVarvara GrachevaGracheva (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
  • Jan SatralSatralTadeas ParoulekParoulek (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Evan FurnessFurnessPetr NouzaNouza (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
  • Julian LenzLenzOndrej StylerStyler (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
  • Maxime ChazalChazalJiri JenicekJenicek (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
  • Ondrej KrstevKrstevJacob GrillsGrills (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Vaclav SafranekSafranekPatrik RiklRikl (w/o) – See score progression
  • Dan AddedAddedDominik RecekRecek (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
  • Colin SinclairSinclairLucas GerchGerch (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw