Alvaro Guillen Meza and Franco Roncadelli will face off in the semifinal of the Santos Challenger for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 1:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alvaro Guillen Meza who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alvaro Guillen Meza is the pick to win this match.
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 1.4
Franco Roncadelli -> 2.77
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Prediction and head to head Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Franco Roncadelli
This will be the 5th time that Alvaro Guillen Meza and Franco Roncadelli square off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Roncadelli won 7-6(6) 6-0 in the Rubber 2 in 1 back in February 2025.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
19 - 11win/loss
179
179
LWWWWWWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-12 | 0-1 | 22-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-32 | 1-3 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 0-1 | 51-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 32-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, Alvaro got to the semifinal after defeating Zdenek Kolar 6-4 6-4, Bruno Kuzuhara 1-6 6-4 6-4 and Renzo Olivo 6-3 6-3.
In the quarter, Guillen Meza had a good straight sets win against Olivo (6-3 6-3). During the match, Guillen Meza scored 76 points vs Olivo’s 57. The Ecuadorian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guillen Meza wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alvaro Guillen Meza lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Guillen Meza put 70% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Guillen Meza broke Olivo 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Guillen Meza has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.
Guillen Meza has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (151-105). 19-10 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Guillen Meza has a compiled147-95 record in the last 8 years on clay.
The Ecuadorian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and the Campinas Challenger.
Alvaro has a composed 19-11 win-loss record in 2025, 19-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Franco Roncadelli
12 - 8win/loss
356
345
LWWLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-11 | 1-1 | 13-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-29 | 3-5 | 34-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 367, Franco reached the semifinal after defeating Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 4-6 6-1 5-0 ret., Matias Soto 7-6(2) 6-4 and Gonzalo Villanueva 6-4 6-2.
In the quarter, The Uruguayan had a good straight sets win against Villanueva (6-4 6-2). During the match Roncadelli scored 65 points vs Villanueva’s 48. Franco was exceptionally aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Roncadelli couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Franco Roncadelli lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Roncadelli put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (9/17) on the 2nd serve. The Uruguayan broke Villanueva 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Franco hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Roncadelli’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Lujan.
Franco has a composed 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 11-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guillen Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 65 | 63 |
| Pts | 224-205 | 239-183 |
| Total Points | 429 | 422 |
| Winners | 89 | 92 |
| %Winners | 40% | 38% |
Both Guillen Meza and Roncadelli played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alvaro Guillen Meza dropped 1 set, while Franco Roncadelli dropped 1 set. Guillen Meza has played 1 set(s) less than Roncadelli (7 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Guillen Meza played 2 games more than Roncadelli. Alvaro scored 89 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Uruguayan blasted 92 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guillen Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 1 |
| 1st in | 155/209 | 136/196 |
| %1st in | 74% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 89/155 | 92/136 |
| %1st pts | 57% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 24/54 | 30/60 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 50% |
Guillen Meza recorded 2 aces (0.7 per match). Roncadelli bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Guillen Meza won 57% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Roncadelli won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guillen Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 16 |
| Converted | 17/31 | 16/25 |
| % Converted | 55% | 64% |
| Conceded | 23 | 17 |
| Saved | 11 | 9 |
| % Saved | 48% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 12 | 8 |
Alvaro broke his opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. The Ecuadorian surrendered his serve 12 times and he saved 48% of the break points that he conceded. The Uruguayan broke his opponents 16 times with a 64% conversion rate. Roncadelli conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.
| Guillen Meza | |||||
| R1 Kolar |
R2 Kuzuhara |
1/4 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 18 | 65 | |
| pts | 64-59 | 84-89 | 76-57 | 224-205 | |
| Total points | 123 | 173 | 133 | 429 | |
| Winners | 22 | 36 | 31 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 73/88 | 46/66 | 155/209 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 83% | 70% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 22/36 | 36/73 | 31/46 | 89/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 49% | 67% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/19 | 6/15 | 12/20 | 24/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 40% | 60% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 7/7 | 4/10 | 17/31 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 100% | 40% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 3/10 | 8/9 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 30% | 89% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 | 1 | 12 | |
| Roncadelli | |||||
| R1 Kohlmann De Freitas |
R2 Soto |
1/4 Villanueva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-1 5-0 ret. | 7-62 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 23 | 18 | 63 | |
| pts | 83-58 | 91-77 | 65-48 | 239-183 | |
| Total points | 141 | 168 | 113 | 422 | |
| Winners | 28 | 39 | 25 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 41/61 | 59/82 | 36/53 | 136/196 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 72% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 28/41 | 39/59 | 25/36 | 92/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 66% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 10/23 | 9/17 | 30/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 43% | 53% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 7/12 | 4/6 | 5/7 | 16/25 | |
| Converted % | 58% | 67% | 71% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 5/8 | 2/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 63% | 50% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWLLL
LWWLLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Santos Challenger
- Boris Arias/Federico ZeballosArias/Federico Zeballos – Hernan Casanova/Santiago Rodriguez TavernaCasanova/Santiago Rodriguez Taverna (4-6 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida – Nicolas KickerKicker (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alvaro Guillen MezaGuillen Meza – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (2-2) – H2H and prediction
