Dominic Stricker and Francesco Maestrelli will square off in the semifinal of the Francavilla Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 5:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.86
Dominic Stricker -> 1.86
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Prediction and head to head Dominic Stricker vs. Francesco Maestrelli
There is no head to head record between Dominic Stricker and Francesco Maestrelli since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Dominic Stricker
13 - 10win/loss
233
88
LLWWWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-12 | 0-4 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2024 | 12-15 | 7-6 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-25 | 8-3 | 8-5 | 14-13 | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 37-25 | 2-5 | 8-7 | 22-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-19 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 14-7 | 2-2 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 258, Dominic got to the semifinal after defeating Paul Jubb 7-6(9) 6-3, Kyrian Jacquet 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Kimmer Coppejans 6-2 7-5.
In the quarter, The Swiss had a good straight sets win against Coppejans (6-2 7-5). During the match, Stricker scored 72 points vs Coppejans’s 56. The Swiss was pretty aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Stricker scored 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Dominic Stricker was very effective on serve to win 75% (18/24) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swiss broke Coppejans 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Stricker has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Stricker has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (132-100). 9-3 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Stricker has an aggregate36-27 match record in the last 8 years on clay.
Dominic’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Trimbach and M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.
Stricker has an aggregate 13-10 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
Stricker has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Maestrelli
12 - 9win/loss
228
149
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-10 | 3-3 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 303, Francesco reached the semifinal after defeating Corentin Denolly 7-5 7-5, Radu Albot 2-6 6-3 6-2 and Benoit Paire 1-6 6-0 6-1.
In the quarter against Paire, Maestrelli recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-0 6-1). During the match Maestrelli scored 71 points vs Paire’s 51. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Maestrelli fired 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Francesco Maestrelli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Maestrelli put 66% of his first serves in, winning 65% (24/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the 2nd serve. Maestrelli broke Paire 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Maestrelli has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Francesco has a composed 12-9 win-loss record in 2025, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Stricker | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 69 |
| Pts | 248-216 | 248-208 |
| Total Points | 464 | 456 |
| Winners | 91 | 100 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Both Stricker and Maestrelli played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Dominic Stricker lost 1 set, while Francesco Maestrelli lost 2 sets. Stricker has played 1 set(s) less than Maestrelli (7 vs 8). Therefore, Stricker played 1 game less than Maestrelli. The Swiss scored 91 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Maestrelli blasted 100 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Stricker | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 123/223 | 136/212 |
| %1st in | 55% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 91/123 | 100/136 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 59/100 | 37/76 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 49% |
Stricker bagged 17 aces (5.7 per match). Maestrelli fired 18 aces (6 per match). Stricker won 74% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Maestrelli won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Stricker | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 13 |
| Converted | 8/23 | 13/34 |
| % Converted | 35% | 38% |
| Conceded | 17 | 17 |
| Saved | 13 | 10 |
| % Saved | 76% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Dominic broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Swiss lost his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Francesco broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Stricker | |||||
| R1 Jubb |
R2 Jacquet |
1/4 Coppejans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-69 6-3 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 26 | 20 | 68 | |
| pts | 82-72 | 94-88 | 72-56 | 248-216 | |
| Total points | 154 | 182 | 128 | 464 | |
| Winners | 37 | 36 | 18 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 38% | 25% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 49/83 | 50/85 | 24/55 | 123/223 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | 44% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 37/49 | 36/50 | 18/24 | 91/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 72% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/34 | 20/35 | 20/31 | 59/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 57% | 65% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/6 | 4/12 | 8/23 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 8/10 | 1/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | 50% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Maestrelli | |||||
| R1 Denolly |
R2 Albot |
1/4 Paire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | 1-6 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 25 | 20 | 69 | |
| pts | 89-74 | 88-83 | 71-51 | 248-208 | |
| Total points | 163 | 171 | 122 | 456 | |
| Winners | 34 | 42 | 24 | 100 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 48% | 34% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 11 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 42/62 | 57/94 | 37/56 | 136/212 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 61% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 42/57 | 24/37 | 100/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 74% | 65% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/20 | 16/37 | 14/19 | 37/76 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 43% | 74% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/8 | 5/11 | 13/34 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 38% | 45% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 7/9 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 78% | 60% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWLLWWL
LWWWWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Francavilla Challenger
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Benoit PairePaire (1-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Elias YmerYmer (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Mark LajalLajal – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu (6-4 7-614) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Benoit PairePaire (1-6 6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – Elias YmerYmer (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mark LajalLajal – Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Valentin VacherotVacherot – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
