Jelena Ostapenko and Laura Siegemund will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 9:00 pm on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jelena Ostapenko who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jelena Ostapenko is the pick to win this match.
Jelena Ostapenko -> 1.21
Laura Siegemund -> 4.4
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Prediction and head to head Jelena Ostapenko vs. Laura Siegemund
This will be the 2nd time that Jelena Ostapenko and Laura Siegemund square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Ostapenko won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2024.
Jelena Ostapenko
13 - 10win/loss
18
5
WLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 6-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Latvian got to the 3rd round after defeating Rebecca Sramkova 1-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Sramkova, Jelena recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-3). During the match, Ostapenko scored 81 points vs Sramkova’s 79. The Latvian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ostapenko recorded 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 6 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 56% of her first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (11/33) on the 2nd serve. Jelena broke Sramkova 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Ostapenko has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of her matches (280-198). 7-2 on clay in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Ostapenko has a compiled 65-41 record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Stuttgart where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-4 6-1.
Jelena has a compiled 13-10 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Laura Siegemund
8 - 12win/loss
101
27
WLWLLLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-22 | 16-11 | 11-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-17 | 23-13 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-15 | 3-5 | 15-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-14 | 7-7 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 101, Laura reached the 3rd round after beating Daria Saville 6-4 6-1, Elena Gabriela Ruse 7-5 6-2 and Lucia Bronzetti 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Laura had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-2 6-2). During the match Siegemund scored 57 points vs Bronzetti’s 35. The German was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Siegemund couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Laura Siegemund conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Siegemund put 73% of her first serves in, winning 88% (28/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (6/12) on the 2nd serve. Siegemund broke Bronzetti 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Siegemund started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 62% of the points she played.
Laura has a compiled 8-12 win-loss record in 2025, 2-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rome
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2017 and 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ostapenko | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 33 |
| Pts | 81-79 | 118-73 |
| Total Points | 160 | 191 |
| Winners | 29 | 54 |
| %Winners | 36% | 46% |
Ostapenko played 1 match while Siegemund competed in 2 matches. Siegemund started her run from the qualifications while Ostapenko had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jelena Ostapenko conceded 1 set while Laura Siegemund hasn’t lost a set so far. Ostapenko has played 1 set(s) less than Siegemund (3 vs 4). Therefore, Ostapenko played 7 games less than Siegemund. Ostapenko scored 29 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Laura managed to score 54 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ostapenko | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 0 |
| 1st in | 42/75 | 66/90 |
| %1st in | 56% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 54/66 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 11/33 | 12/24 |
| %2nd pts | 33% | 50% |
Ostapenko recorded 4 aces . Siegemund didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ostapenko won 69% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 33% of the points. On the other side, Siegemund won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ostapenko | Siegemund |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 9/14 |
| % Converted | 67% | 64% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 5 | 5 |
| % Saved | 45% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 1 |
Jelena broke her opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Latvian dropped her serve 6 times and she saved 45% of the break points that she conceded. Laura broke her opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Laura conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Ostapenko | |||
| R2 Sramkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 81-79 | 81-79 | |
| Total points | 160 | 160 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/75 | 42/75 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/42 | 29/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/33 | 11/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 33% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 5/11 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 45% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| Siegemund | |||||
| Q1 Gavrilova |
Q3 Gabriela Ruse |
R2 Bronzetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 7-5 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 | 16 | 53 | |
| pts | 61-38 | – | 57-35 | 118-73 | |
| Total points | 99 | 0 | 92 | 191 | |
| Winners | 26 | 28 | 54 | ||
| %Winners | 43% | 0% | 49% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 34/46 | / | 32/44 | 66/90 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 0% | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 26/34 | / | 28/32 | 54/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 0% | 88% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/12 | / | 6/12 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 0% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | ||
| Converted | 5/6 | / | 4/8 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 0% | 50% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/ | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 100% | 167% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWLWL
WLWLLLLWLL Tennis Scores in Rome
- Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Emiliana ArangoArango (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Sonay KartalKartal (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Ashlyn KruegerKrueger (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Petra KvitovaKvitova (w/o) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-3 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (2-6 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Laura SiegemundSiegemund – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Lulu SunSun (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Suzan LamensLamens (3-6 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (7-64 6-1) – See score progression
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (7-62 7-5) – See score progression
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (1-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Maxime ChazalChazal – Jiri JenicekJenicek (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Ondrej KrstevKrstev – Jacob GrillsGrills (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Vaclav SafranekSafranek – Patrik RiklRikl (w/o) – See score progression
- Dan AddedAdded – Dominik RecekRecek (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Colin SinclairSinclair – Lucas GerchGerch (6-2 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan SatralSatral – Tadeas ParoulekParoulek (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Evan FurnessFurness – Petr NouzaNouza (4-6 7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Julian LenzLenz – Ondrej StylerStyler (6-2 7-64) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Antonia RuzicRuzic (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Maria SakkariSakkari (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Jil TeichmannTeichmann (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Katie VolynetsVolynets (7-5 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Sonay KartalKartal (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Emiliana ArangoArango (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sofia KeninKenin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magdalena FrechFrech – Qinwen ZhengZheng (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Ons JabeurJabeur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elise MertensMertens – Jessica PegulaPegula (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marie BouzkovaBouzkova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-7) – H2H and prediction
