Alex De Minaur and Luca Nardi will face off in the 2^nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 7:30 pm on GRAND STAND ARENA. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.11
Luca Nardi -> 6.55

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Luca Nardi

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and Luca Nardi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 8, Alex will start his run in Rome after he played his last match in Madrid where he lost 6-4 6-2 to Musetti in the 4^th round on the 30^th of April.

The Australian has a composed 24-9 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

De Minaur’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Rotterdam.

Talking about his overall career, Alex has an overall 389-217 record. He has a positive 72-54 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2024. See his history.

Luca Nardi

Ranked no. 95, Nardi got to the 2^nd round after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Nardi had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-4). During the match Nardi scored 66 points vs Cobolli’s 54. Nardi was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Nardi scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Luca Nardi was very efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Luca broke Cobolli 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Nardi’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in the Koblenz Challenger.

The Italian has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

Tennis Scores in Rome

• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-4 5-7 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jordan ThompsonThompson (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Laslo DjereDjere – Alex MichelsenMichelsen (6-0 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Otto VirtanenVirtanen (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Arthur FilsFils – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-2 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Dusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Corentin MoutetMoutet – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-3 4-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Carlos TabernerTaberner (6-1 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Vit KoprivaVit – Sebastian BaezSebastian (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Vilius GaubasVilius – Denis ShapovalovDenis (6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Laslo DjereDjere – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alexander BublikBublik – Casper RuudRuud (1-6) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Sebastian KordaKorda (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jacob FearnleyFearnley (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Marcos GironGiron (7-1) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Sebastian BaezBaez (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Nicolas JarryJarry (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jesper De JongDe Jong – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco ComesanaComesana – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (1-1) – H2H and prediction