Alvaro Guillen Meza and Renzo Olivo will play each other in the quarter of the Santos Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on QUADRA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alvaro Guillen Meza who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alvaro Guillen Meza is the pick to win this match.
Alvaro Guillen Meza -> 1.43
Renzo Olivo -> 2.66
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At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
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Prediction and head to head Alvaro Guillen Meza vs. Renzo Olivo
This will be the 4th time that Alvaro Guillen Meza and Renzo Olivo clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Guillen Meza (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Guillen Meza won 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the semifinal in M25 Punta del Este back in February 2025.
Alvaro Guillen Meza
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 14-24 | 0-3 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 46-29 | 0-1 | 46-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-32 | 1-3 | 36-29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-22 | 0-1 | 51-20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 1-2 | 32-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, the Ecuadorian got to the quarter after beating Zdenek Kolar 6-4 6-4 and Bruno Kuzuhara 1-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Kuzuhara, The Ecuadorian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Guillen Meza scored less points (5) than Kuzuhara. In fact, the world no. 216 won 84 points vs Kuzuhara’s. That means that Guillen Meza was more focused during the important points. The Ecuadorian was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Regarding the service games, Guillen Meza couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Alvaro Guillen Meza lost the serve 7 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Guillen Meza put 83% of his first serves in, winning 49% (36/73) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Alvaro was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Kuzuhara 7 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Guillen Meza has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 50% of the points he played.
Guillen Meza has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of his matches (150-105). 18-10 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Guillen Meza has an aggregate146-95 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Alvaro’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Punta del Este and the Campinas Challenger.
Alvaro has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2025, 18-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Renzo Olivo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2025 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-31 | 7-3 | 21-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-34 | 2-6 | 27-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-31 | 3-6 | 29-24 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 354, Renzo got to the quarter after beating Blaise Bicknell 3-6 6-3 6-3 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 5-7 7-5 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Carlos Prado Angelo, Olivo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-1). During the match Olivo scored 121 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 110. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Olivo bagged 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Renzo Olivo lost the serve 3 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Olivo put 51% of his first serves in, winning 70% (43/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (27/58) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Renzo has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Renzo’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M25 Punta del Este.
Olivo has an aggregate 15-13 win-loss record in 2025, 15-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santos Challenger
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Guillen Meza | Olivo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 58 |
| Pts | 148-148 | 208-187 |
| Total Points | 296 | 395 |
| Winners | 58 | 69 |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% |
Both Guillen Meza and Olivo played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alvaro Guillen Meza surrendered 1 set, while Renzo Olivo lost 2 sets. Guillen Meza has played 1 set(s) less than Olivo (5 vs 6). Therefore, Guillen Meza played 11 games less than Olivo. The Ecuadorian scored 58 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine scored 69 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Guillen Meza | Olivo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 109/143 | 101/202 |
| %1st in | 76% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 58/109 | 69/101 |
| %1st pts | 53% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 12/34 | 53/101 |
| %2nd pts | 35% | 52% |
Guillen Meza managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Olivo made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Guillen Meza won 53% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 35% of the points. On the other side, Olivo won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Guillen Meza | Olivo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/21 | 10/24 |
| % Converted | 62% | 42% |
| Conceded | 14 | 25 |
| Saved | 3 | 19 |
| % Saved | 21% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 6 |
The Ecuadorian broke his opponents 13 times with a 62% conversion rate. Guillen Meza surrendered his serve 11 times and he saved 21% of the break points that he conceded. Renzo broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Renzo conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Guillen Meza | ||||
| R1 Kolar |
R2 Kuzuhara |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 1-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 | 47 | |
| pts | 64-59 | 84-89 | 148-148 | |
| Total points | 123 | 173 | 296 | |
| Winners | 22 | 36 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 73/88 | 109/143 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 83% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 22/36 | 36/73 | 58/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 49% | 53% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/19 | 6/15 | 12/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 32% | 40% | 35% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 7/7 | 13/21 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 100% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 10 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 3/10 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 30% | 15% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Olivo | ||||
| R1 Bicknell |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-3 | 5-7 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 31 | 58 | |
| pts | 87-77 | 121-110 | 208-187 | |
| Total points | 164 | 231 | 395 | |
| Winners | 26 | 43 | 69 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 36% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 40/83 | 61/119 | 101/202 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 51% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 26/40 | 43/61 | 69/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/43 | 27/58 | 53/101 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/16 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 31% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 18 | 25 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 15/18 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 83% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
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