Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.195
Anastasia Potapova -> 4.65

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anastasia Potapova

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Anastasia Potapova square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Sabalenka won 6-1 6-2 in the semifinal in Stuttgart back in 2023.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova – Stuttgart 22-April-2023

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

31 - 5win/loss

Hard
23-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-1
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka will start her run in Rome after she won the title in Madrid after beating 6-3 7-6(3) Gauff in the final.

Aryna has an aggregate 31-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna won her last 6 matches.

Talking about her overall career, The Belarussian has an overall 405-173 record. She has a positive 85-40 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.

Rome
Sabalenka's Record

Anastasia Potapova

Anastasia Potapova

17 - 7win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
7-1
Clay
5-1
Rank
51
High
21
LWWWLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-16 10-11 6-3 7-1 1-1 0-0
2024 28-22 17-13 6-5 2-1 3-3 0-0
2023 30-21 11-14 7-4 7-1 5-2 0-0
2022 35-24 14-14 18-7 3-2 0-1 0-0
2021 21-23 11-11 3-5 5-5 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 34, Anastasia got to the 2nd round after beating Dayana Yastremska 2-6 7-6(6) 6-3.

In the 1st round against Yastremska, Anastasia recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-66 6-3). During the match Potapova scored 110 points vs Yastremska’s 109. Potapova was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Potapova struck 3 aces and she was not very consistent on her 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Anastasia Potapova lost the serve 6 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Potapova put 52% of her first serves in, winning 56% (31/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (26/51) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Yastremska 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Napoca where she beat Lucia Bronzetti in the final 4-6 6-1 6-2.

Potapova has an aggregate 17-7 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See her history.

Rome
Potapova's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw