Denis Shapovalov and Vilius Gaubas will square off in the 2nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:30 pm on PIETRANGELI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.43
Vilius Gaubas -> 2.82

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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Vilius Gaubas

There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Vilius Gaubas since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Denis Shapovalov

Denis Shapovalov

13 - 9win/loss

Hard
7-6
I Hard
5-0
Clay
1-3
Rank
23
High
10
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-22 14-11 2-5 9-3 1-3 0-0
2024 33-25 9-10 5-6 16-6 3-3 0-0
2023 13-13 6-6 3-3 0-1 4-3 0-0
2022 34-26 22-12 4-4 7-6 1-4 0-0
2021 30-23 11-11 7-6 4-3 8-3 0-0

Ranked no. 28, the Canadian will start his run in Rome after he played his last match in Madrid where he lost 6-3 7-6(3) to De Minaur in the 3rd round on the 29th of April.

Shapovalov has an overall 13-9 win-loss record in 2025, 1-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.

Talking about his overall career, Denis has an overall 322-216 record. He has a positive 76-48 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2020. See his history.

Rome
Shapovalov's Record

Vilius Gaubas

Vilius Gaubas

18 - 12win/loss

Hard
1-3
I Hard
2-4
Clay
15-5
Rank
130
High
128
LWLLLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-28 1-4 36-19 2-4 1-1 0-0
2024 48-35 7-4 40-28 1-3 0-0 0-0
2023 59-26 3-3 55-21 1-2 0-0 0-0
2022 19-17 4-4 15-12 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 3-6 1-2 2-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 154, the Lithuanian got to the 2nd round after defeating Eliot Spizzirri 6-1 6-2, Hugo Dellien 7-5 6-3 and Damir Dzumhur 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4.

In the 1st round, Vilius defeated Dzumhur (7-63 2-6 6-4). During the match Gaubas scored 95 points vs Dzumhur’s 93. Vilius was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Gaubas couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 75% of his first serves in, winning 56% (43/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Vilius broke Dzumhur 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Menorca Challenger where he overcame Pol Martin Tiffon in the final 6-0 6-4.

Vilius has an overall 18-12 win-loss record in 2025, 15-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Gaubas has never competed in this tournament before.

Rome
Gaubas's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw