ROME DRAW. Madison Keys’s prediction with Gracheva next. H2H and rankings

Rome draw - Madison Keys. See the draw preview and prediction with Varvara Gracheva, Anna Kalinskaya, Paula Badosa, Iga Swiatek, Jessica Pegula, Aryna Sabalenka in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is about to begin her run in the draw in Rome. Last year in Rome, Madison lost in the quarter to Iga Swiatek 6-1 6-3. In the previous edition of this tournament, she conquered Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 6-0 4-6 6-3, Beatriz Haddad Maia 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Sorana Cirstea 6-2 6-1. Madison will try to conquer the title after she was the runner-up once in 2016.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw together withherpresumable opposition in Internazionali BNL d’Italia. Keys has a weak record (9-12) against the projected opponents.

R1R1 – Bye
R2 – Varvara Gracheva (65) – H2H 0-0
R3 – Anna Kalinskaya (28) – H2H 2-1
or Peyton Stearns (42) – H2H 0-1
R4 – Paula Badosa (10) – H2H 1-0
or Beatriz Haddad Maia (22) – H2H 3-2
1/4 – Iga Swiatek (2) – H2H 2-5
or Elina Svitolina (14) – H2H 4-2
1/2 – Jessica Pegula (4) – H2H 2-1
or Jasmine Paolini (5) – H2H 1-1
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (1) – H2H 2-5
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 3-2
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R2 – Varvara Gracheva’s rankings and performance.

Head to head record 0-0

11 - 16win/loss in 2025

Rank
111
High
39
LLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 11-16 4-6 6-6 1-3 0-1 0-0
2024 29-28 13-15 15-10 0-1 1-2 0-0
2023 36-30 23-18 7-6 3-3 3-3 0-0
2022 29-32 7-11 12-14 10-7 0-0 0-0
2021 27-31 11-10 7-10 9-9 0-2 0-0
2020 10-14 5-7 4-4 1-3 0-0 0-0
2019 70-26 10-7 46-10 14-8 0-0 0-1
2018 28-13 1-1 22-10 5-2 0-0 0-0

Varvara Gracheva has a 8-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on clay. In the last 10 years, Gracheva has a 145-77 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The French player won 4 of her last 10 matches.

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia the French player was overcome by Maria Sakkari in the 2nd round 6-2 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Varvara Gracheva

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Varvara Gracheva since this would be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

R3 – Anna Kalinskaya’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

9 - 12win/loss in 2025

Rank
28
High
11
LLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-12 1-6 5-4 3-1 0-1 0-0
2024 38-19 28-12 3-5 0-0 7-2 0-0
2023 28-18 16-15 7-3 5-0 0-0 0-0
2022 27-20 22-10 2-6 1-1 2-3 0-0
2021 30-23 19-12 3-7 5-2 3-2 0-0
2020 9-8 8-6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2019 40-20 19-6 8-5 4-4 9-5 0-0
2018 28-23 14-7 7-6 4-7 3-3 0-0

Anna Kalinskaya has a 7-9 record in 2025, 3-2 on clay. As for the previous 12 years, Kalinskaya has a 80-56 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The Russian won 4 of her last 10 matches.

The Russian’s most significant achievement of this season was getting to the semifinal Singapore.

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia the Russian capitulated to Elina Svitolina in the 3rd round 6-3 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Anna Kalinskaya

This would be the 4th time that Madison Keys and Anna Kalinskaya clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay in major tournaments.

Nonetheless, Madison Keys could face Peyton Stearns. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Peyton Stearns.

R4 – Paula Badosa’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Madison Keys

16 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
10
High
2
WLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-9 12-7 3-2 0-0 1-0 0-0
2024 37-19 26-11 6-5 0-1 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 57-33 17-13 17-12 7-4 7-3 9-1
2018 39-21 8-3 19-11 11-4 1-3 0-0

Paula Badosa has a 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, but she has not competed hitherto on clay. The Spaniard won 6 of her last 10 matches.

Badosa’s best result of this current year was getting to the semifinal at the Australian Open .

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia the Spaniard lost to Cori Gauff in the 4th round 5-7 6-4 6-1.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Paula Badosa

This match would represent the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Paula Badosa play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Madison Keys could square off with Beatriz Haddad Maia. Their head to head is 3-2 for Madison Keys.

1/4 – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Iga Swiatek

32 - 10win/loss in 2025

Rank
8
High
1
LWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 32-10 21-6 11-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 26-8 record in 2025, 5-2 on clay. In the course of the last 10 years, Swiatek has a 142-20 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Iga won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Pole’s most significant achievement of this season was getting to the final Australia.

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia Iga won the competition after defeating Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 8th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek clash against each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-0 on clay in major tournaments.

Possibly, Madison Keys could face Elina Svitolina. Their H2H is 4-2 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Jessica Pegula’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

31 - 11win/loss in 2025

Rank
3
High
3
LWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-11 20-6 11-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0
2020 17-9 16-7 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 25-19 14-10 4-5 4-1 3-3 0-0
2018 50-22 21-9 22-10 7-2 0-1 0-0

Jessica Pegula has a 27-8 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay. In connection to the previous 17 years, Pegula has a 124-76 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). The American won 7 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of the season was winning the tournament in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Charleston where she defeated Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia the American didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Jessica Pegula

This match would represent the 4th time that Madison Keys and Jessica Pegula face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Madison Keys could play Jasmine Paolini. Their head to head record is 1-1.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

40 - 7win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 40-7 23-4 17-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0

Aryna Sabalenka has a 31-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on clay. During the last 10 years, Aryna has a 85-40 record on clay (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 6 matches winning streak.

Her best result of the year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she beat Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2, in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2, and in Madrid where she defeated Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Last year in Internazionali BNL d’Italia Sabalenka surrendered to Iga Swiatek in the final 6-2 6-3.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This match would represent the 8th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay in major tournaments.

Anyhow, Madison Keys could compete against Cori Gauff. Their H2H record is 3-2 for Madison Keys.