Madison Keys and Varvara Gracheva will square off in the 2^nd round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:00 pm on PIETRANGELI. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.179
Varvara Gracheva -> 4.9

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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Varvara Gracheva

There is no head to head record between Madison Keys and Varvara Gracheva since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 6, Keys will start her run in Rome after she played her last match in Madrid where she lost 0-6 6-3 6-2 to Swiatek in the quarter on the 30^th of April.

Madison has an aggregate 23-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 4-6 6-1 and at the Australian Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 2-6 7-5.

Talking about her overall career, Keys has an overall 408-226 record. She has a positive 93-52 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.

Varvara Gracheva

Ranked no. 65, the French player reached the 2^nd round after defeating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Tomljanovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Gracheva scored 71 points vs Tomljanovic’s 63. Gracheva was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Gracheva recorded 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Varvara Gracheva lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gracheva put 72% of her first serves in, winning 62% (31/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Tomljanovic 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Varvara has an overall 8-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See her history

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Tennis Scores in Rome

• Maxime ChazalChazal – Jiri JenicekJenicek (6-0 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ondrej KrstevKrstev – Jacob GrillsGrills (2-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Vaclav SafranekSafranek – Patrik RiklRikl (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dan AddedAdded – Dominik RecekRecek (6-3 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Colin SinclairSinclair – Lucas GerchGerch (6-2 5-7 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jan SatralSatral – Tadeas ParoulekParoulek (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Evan FurnessFurness – Petr NouzaNouza (4-6 7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Julian LenzLenz – Ondrej StylerStyler (6-2 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Sofia KeninKenin (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-4) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Eva LysLys (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Bianca Vanessa AndreescuVanessa Andreescu – Donna VekicVekic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Olga DanilovicDanilovic – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Maria SakkariSakkari – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Clara TausonTauson (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emiliana ArangoArango – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Petra KvitovaKvitova – Ons JabeurJabeur (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Lucia BronzettiBronzetti – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Suzan LamensLamens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elina SvitolinaSvitolina – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Hailey BaptisteBaptiste – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elena Gabriela RuseGabriela Ruse (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction