Aslan Karatsev and Elias Ymer will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Francavilla Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 2:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aslan Karatsev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aslan Karatsev is the pick to win this match.
Aslan Karatsev -> 1.7
Elias Ymer -> 2.06

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Aslan Karatsev vs. Elias Ymer

This will be the 2^nd time that Aslan Karatsev and Elias Ymer square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats

), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Ymer won 6-2 7-6(3) in the 2^nd round in Pune back in 2022.

Aslan Karatsev

Ranked no. 191, the Russian reached the 2^nd round after defeating Stefano Travaglia 6-2 7-5.

In the 1^st round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Travaglia (6-2 7-5). During the match, Karatsev scored 76 points vs Travaglia’s 54. Aslan was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Karatsev fired 6 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Aslan Karatsev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 88% (28/32) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Travaglia 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Karatsev has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (290-202). 2-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Karatsev has an aggregate 89-66 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger where he defeated Gregoire Barrere in the final 7-6(5) 7-5.

Aslan has a composed 15-8 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Francavilla Challenger

Elias Ymer

Ranked no. 263, the Swede got to the 2^nd round after defeating Gregoire Barrere 4-6 7-5 7-5.

In the 1^st round against Barrere, The Swede recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 7-5). During the match Ymer scored 116 points vs Barrere’s 107. Ymer was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer struck 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 59% of his first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (22/47) on the 2nd serve. Ymer broke Barrere 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).

The Swede’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.

The Swede has a compiled 11-8 win-loss record in 2025, 5-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Karatsev	Ymer
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	20	34
Pts	76-54	116-107
Total Points	130	223
Winners	28	45
%Winners	37%	39%

Both Karatsev and Ymer played 1 match. At the moment, Elias Ymer surrendered 1 set while Aslan Karatsev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Karatsev has played 1 set(s) less than Ymer (2 vs 3). Therefore, Karatsev played 14 games less than Ymer. The Russian scored 28 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Swede managed to score 45 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Karatsev	Ymer
Aces	6	3
Avg per match	6	3
1st in	32/50	67/114
%1st in	64%	59%
1st pts	28/32	45/67
%1st pts	88%	67%
2nd pts	10/18	22/47
%2nd pts	56%	47%

Karatsev struck 6 aces . Ymer managed to score 3 aces . Karatsev won 88% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Karatsev	Ymer
Won	4	6
Converted	4/11	6/13
% Converted	36%	46%
Conceded	1	11
Saved	0	6
% Saved	0%	55%
Times Broken	1	5

Aslan broke his opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. Karatsev surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Elias broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Karatsev
	R1 Travaglia	Total
Score	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	76-54	76-54
Total points	130	130
Winners	28	28
%Winners	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	32/50	32/50
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	28/32	28/32
% 1st pts	88%	88%
2nd pts	10/18	10/18
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/11	4/11
Converted %	36%	36%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Ymer
	R1 Barrere	Total
Score	4-6 7-5 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	34	34
pts	116-107	116-107
Total points	223	223
Winners	45	45
%Winners	39%	39%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	67/114	67/114
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	45/67	45/67
% 1st pts	67%	67%
2nd pts	22/47	22/47
% 2nd pts	47%	47%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/13	6/13
Converted %	46%	46%
Conceded	11	11
Saved	6/11	6
Saved %	55%	55%
Times Broken	5	5

Tennis Scores in Francavilla Challenger

• Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (7-6⁵ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Dominic StrickerStricker – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (1-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexey VatutinVatutin – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Elias YmerYmer – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Mathys ErhardErhard (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Timofey SkatovSkatov – Benoit PairePaire (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Radu AlbotAlbot (0-1) – H2H and prediction