Matteo Arnaldi and Roberto Bautista Agut will square off in the 1st round of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:00 am on CAMPO CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.41
Roberto Bautista Agut -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Roberto Bautista Agut

There is no head to head record between Matteo Arnaldi and Roberto Bautista Agut since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

12 - 10win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
2-1
Clay
4-3
Rank
36
High
30
LWWLLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-12 6-6 6-5 2-1 0-0 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 37, Arnaldi will start his run in Rome after he played his last match in Madrid where he lost 6-0 6-4 to Draper in the quarter on the 1st of May.

Arnaldi has a composed 12-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

The Italian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 228-144 record. He has a positive 129-67 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Rome
Arnaldi's Record

Roberto Bautista Agut

Roberto Bautista Agut

4 - 11win/loss

Hard
1-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-4
Rank
49
High
9
LWWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-13 1-6 6-6 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 37-28 11-13 10-7 9-4 7-4 0-0
2023 22-23 9-7 8-8 2-6 3-2 0-0
2022 39-20 17-9 7-3 9-6 6-2 0-0
2021 29-25 14-10 7-7 4-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 56, Roberto will start his run in Rome after he played his last match in Madrid where he lost 6-2 6-2 to Zverev in the 2nd round on the 25th of April.

Roberto has an aggregate 4-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Bautista-Agut has an overall 715-449 record. He has a positive 237-172 record on clay.

Previously in Rome

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017 and 2021. See his history.

Rome
Bautista-Agut's Record

Tennis Scores in Rome

  • Corentin MoutetMoutetRinky HijikataHijikata (3-6 6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres BurruchagaLorenzo SonegoSonego (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Carlos TabernerTabernerAleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (6-3 1-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Francisco ComesanaComesanaDaniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-1 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Dusan LajovicLajovicYoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliPablo Carreno-BustaCarreno-Busta (6-2 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Alexandre MullerMullerJiri LeheckaLehecka (2-6 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Vit KoprivaKoprivaQuentin HalysHalys (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Jordan ThompsonThompsonGiovanni Mpetshi PerricardMpetshi Perricard (3-6 6-3 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoorMiomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-3 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw