Rio Noguchi and Zhe Li will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Wuxi Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 2 sets.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.28
Zhe Li -> 3.4
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Zhe Li
This will be the 2nd time that Rio Noguchi and Zhe Li play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Li (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Li won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in Tama) back in 2017.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-30 | 36-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 255, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after defeating Hugo Grenier 6-2 3-6 6-0.
In the 1st round, Noguchi defeated Grenier (6-2 3-6 6-0). During the match, Noguchi scored 82 points vs Grenier’s 67. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Noguchi was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 62% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Grenier 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).
Noguchi has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (347-239). 18-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has an aggregate 242-151 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.
The Japanese has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuxi Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Zhe Li
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-9 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-13 | 26-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-14 | 22-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 854, Zhe reached the 2nd round after beating Hiroki Moriya 2-6 6-2 6-0, Yuki Mochizuki 5-7 6-1 6-4 and Shintaro Imai 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, Zhe had a good straight sets win against Imai (6-3 7-65). During the match Li scored 75 points vs Imai’s 68. Li was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Li struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Zhe Li lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Li put 60% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Zhe was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Imai twice.
Li has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuxi Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 73 |
| Pts | 82-67 | 244-207 |
| Total Points | 149 | 451 |
| Winners | 31 | 104 |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% |
Noguchi played 1 match while Li competed in 3 matches. Li started his run from the qualifications while Noguchi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi dropped 1 set, while Zhe Li lost 2 sets. Noguchi has played 5 set(s) less than Li (3 vs 8). Therefore, Noguchi played 50 games less than Li. Noguchi scored 31 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 104 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 5.7 |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 145/234 |
| %1st in | 62% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 104/145 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 46/89 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 52% |
Noguchi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Li scored 17 aces (5.7 per match). Noguchi won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Li won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Li |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 12 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 12/17 |
| % Converted | 54% | 71% |
| Conceded | 9 | 18 |
| Saved | 6 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 6 |
Noguchi broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Noguchi surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Grenier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-6 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 82-67 | 82-67 | |
| Total points | 149 | 149 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/76 | 47/76 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 31/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 14/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 54% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Li | |||||
| Q1 Moriya | Q3 Mochizuki | R1 Imai | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-0 | 5-7 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 29 | 22 | 73 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 97-83 | 75-68 | 244-207 | |
| Total points | 128 | 180 | 143 | 451 | |
| Winners | 31 | 37 | 36 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% | 48% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 0 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 47/70 | 49/82 | 49/82 | 145/234 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 60% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 31/47 | 37/49 | 36/49 | 104/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 76% | 73% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/23 | 20/33 | 16/33 | 46/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 61% | 48% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 4/7 | 2/2 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 57% | 100% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 5 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 3/5 | 3/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 60% | 75% | 202% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Wuxi Challenger
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Omar JasikaJasika (7-64 7-68) – See score progression
- Zhe LiLi – Shintaro ImaiImai (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Ilia SimakinSimakin – Rigele TeTe (7-5 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Evan ZhuZhu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (7-62 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Charles ChenChen (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Yi ZhouZhou (1-6 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Christian LangmoLangmo (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-2 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – James McCabeMcCabe (6-2 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi – Charles ChenChen (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Ilya IvashkaIvashka (7-6(2) 4-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Evan ZhuZhu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Omar JasikaJasika (7-6(4) 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Alex BoltBolt (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jie CuiCui – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Zhe LiLi (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (0-0) – H2H and prediction