Rio Noguchi and Zhe Li will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Wuxi Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.28
Zhe Li -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Zhe Li

This will be the 2nd time that Rio Noguchi and Zhe Li play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Li (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Li won 6-2 6-1 in the 1st round in Tama) back in 2017.

Rio Noguchi

Rio Noguchi

18 - 11win/loss

Hard
18-11
I Hard
0-0
Rank
242
High
196
LLLWWLWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-30 36-30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 41-31 36-22 1-4 0-2 4-3 0-0
2023 19-31 12-18 2-7 2-2 3-4 0-0
2022 54-22 41-10 9-9 0-1 4-2 0-0
2021 25-26 18-18 7-8 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 255, the Japanese reached the 2nd round after defeating Hugo Grenier 6-2 3-6 6-0.

In the 1st round, Noguchi defeated Grenier (6-2 3-6 6-0). During the match, Noguchi scored 82 points vs Grenier’s 67. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Noguchi was unable to score even 1 ace in the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 62% of his first serves in, winning 66% (31/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (14/29) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Grenier 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

Noguchi has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (347-239). 18-11 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Noguchi has an aggregate 242-151 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

The Japanese has a compiled 18-11 win-loss record in 2025, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Wuxi Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

Wuxi Challenger
Noguchi's Record

Zhe Li

Zhe Li

6 - 6win/loss

Hard
5-3
I Hard
1-2
Clay
0-1
Rank
854
High
193
LWLWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 10-9 9-6 0-1 1-2 0-0 0-0
2024 1-4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 26-13 26-13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 22-14 22-13 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 1-2 1-1 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 854, Zhe reached the 2nd round after beating Hiroki Moriya 2-6 6-2 6-0, Yuki Mochizuki 5-7 6-1 6-4 and Shintaro Imai 6-3 7-6(5).

In the 1st round, Zhe had a good straight sets win against Imai (6-3 7-65). During the match Li scored 75 points vs Imai’s 68. Li was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Li struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Zhe Li lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Li put 60% of his first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Zhe was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Imai twice.

Li has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Wuxi Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Wuxi Challenger
Li's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

R.Noguchi
Z.Li
1h:56
1h:56
Time on court​
!
5h:08
5h:08
1h:56
1h:56
Last match​
1h:40
1h:40
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
23
23
Games Played​
73
73
3
3
Set played​​
8
8
82
82
Total points​
244
244
82
82
Avg point​
81.3
81.3
31
31
Winners
104
104
31
31
Avg Winners​
34.7
34.7
38%
38%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
0
0
Aces
17
17
0
0
Avg Aces
5.7
5.7
1
1
Double Faults
11
11
1
1
Avg Double Faults
3.7
3.7
31/47
31/47
1st won total​
104/145
104/145
66%
66%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
14/29
14/29
2nd won total​
46/89
46/89
48%
48%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
7/13
7/13
BP won
12/17
12/17
7/13
7/13
Avg BP won
4/5.7
4/5.7
!
54%
54%
Won
!
71%
71%
9
9
Conceded
18
18
9
9
Avg Conceded
6
6
3
3
Broken
6
6
3
3
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Noguchi Li
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 8
Tot Games 23 73
Pts 82-67 244-207
Total Points 149 451
Winners 31 104
%Winners 38% 43%

Noguchi played 1 match while Li competed in 3 matches. Li started his run from the qualifications while Noguchi had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi dropped 1 set, while Zhe Li lost 2 sets. Noguchi has played 5 set(s) less than Li (3 vs 8). Therefore, Noguchi played 50 games less than Li. Noguchi scored 31 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 104 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Noguchi Li
Aces 0 17
Avg per match 0 5.7
1st in 47/76 145/234
%1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 31/47 104/145
%1st pts 66% 72%
2nd pts 14/29 46/89
%2nd pts 48% 52%

Noguchi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Li scored 17 aces (5.7 per match). Noguchi won 66% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Li won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Noguchi Li
Won 7 12
Converted 7/13 12/17
% Converted 54% 71%
Conceded 9 18
Saved 6 12
% Saved 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 6

Noguchi broke his opponent 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Noguchi surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Chinese broke his opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Noguchi
R1
Grenier
Total
Score 6-2 3-6 6-0
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 23 23
pts 82-67 82-67
Total points 149 149
Winners 31 31
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 0
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 47/76 47/76
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 31/47 31/47
% 1st pts 66% 66%
2nd pts 14/29 14/29
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 7 7
Converted 7/13 7/13
Converted % 54% 54%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 6/9 6
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 3 3
Li
Q1
Moriya
Q3
Mochizuki
R1
Imai
Total
Score 2-6 6-2 6-0 5-7 6-1 6-4 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 22 29 22 73
pts 72-56 97-83 75-68 244-207
Total points 128 180 143 451
Winners 31 37 36 104
%Winners 43% 38% 48% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 4 17
Double Faults 7 0 4 11
1st in 47/70 49/82 49/82 145/234
% 1st in 67% 60% 60% 62%
1st pts 31/47 37/49 36/49 104/145
% 1st pts 66% 76% 73% 72%
2nd pts 10/23 20/33 16/33 46/89
% 2nd pts 43% 61% 48% 52%
Breaks
Won 6 4 2 12
Converted 6/8 4/7 2/2 12/17
Converted % 75% 57% 100% 71%
Conceded 9 5 4 18
Saved 6/9 3/5 3/4 12
Saved % 67% 60% 75% 202%
Times Broken 3 2 1 6

Tennis Scores in Wuxi Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw