Yosuke Watanuki and Ryan Peniston will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Wuxi Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.52
Ryan Peniston -> 2.4

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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Ryan Peniston

There is no head to head record between Yosuke Watanuki and Ryan Peniston since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Yosuke Watanuki

Yosuke Watanuki

14 - 9win/loss

Hard
13-8
I Hard
1-1
Rank
159
High
72
WWWWWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-24 18-18 0-0 6-1 7-5 0-0
2024 11-11 9-8 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 29-12 7-5 1-2 6-4 0-0
2022 40-22 19-11 6-4 15-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-17 8-9 2-3 6-4 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 189, Yousuke got to the 2nd round after defeating Yi Zhou 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4.

In the 1st round against Zhou, Watanuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-63 6-4).During the match, Watanuki scored less points (9) than Zhou. In fact, the world no. 189 won 98 points vs Zhou’s. That means that Watanuki was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Watanuki bagged 6 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Watanuki put 42% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Watanuki broke Zhou twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).

Watanuki has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (239-152). 13-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Watanuki has an overall 152-87 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

The Japanese’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Gwangju Challenger.

Yousuke has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Wuxi Challenger

Yousuke has never competed in this tournament before.

Wuxi Challenger
Watanuki's Record

Ryan Peniston

Ryan Peniston

24 - 8win/loss

Hard
20-6
I Hard
4-2
Rank
200
High
123
LLWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 53-23 45-15 0-0 4-3 4-5 0-0
2024 28-24 27-16 0-1 0-3 1-4 0-0
2023 31-29 20-12 1-8 7-4 3-5 0-0
2022 31-26 4-8 5-4 13-9 9-5 0-0
2021 47-23 25-9 12-4 9-7 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 310, the Brit got to the 2nd round after defeating James McCabe 6-2 3-2 ret..

In the 1st round against McCabe, Ryan had a free pass after McCabe retired on a 6-2 3-2 . scoreline.

The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sunderland,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio and M25 Loule.

The Brit has an aggregate 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Wuxi Challenger
Peniston's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Y.Watanuki
R.Peniston
!
2h:26
2h:26
Time on court​
1h:08
1h:08
!
2h:26
2h:26
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
13
13
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
98
98
Total points​
55
55
98
98
Avg point​
55
55
30
30
Winners
16
16
30
30
Avg Winners​
16
16
31%
31%
Ratio winners
29%
29%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
1
1
6
6
Avg Aces
1
1
10
10
Double Faults
0
0
!
10
10
Avg Double Faults
0
0
30/40
30/40
1st won total​
16/20
16/20
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
28/56
28/56
2nd won total​
12/15
12/15
50%
50%
2nd won %
!
80%
80%
-- Break Points --
2/10
2/10
BP won
3/8
3/8
2/10
2/10
Avg BP won
3/8
3/8
!
20%
20%
Won
38%
38%
8
8
Conceded
1
1
8
8
Avg Conceded
1
1
3
3
Broken
0
0
3
3
Avg Broken
!
0
0
5
5
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Watanuki Peniston
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 13
Pts 98-107 55-34
Total Points 205 89
Winners 30 16
%Winners 31% 29%

Both Watanuki and Peniston played 1 match. At the moment, Yosuke Watanuki surrendered 1 set while Ryan Peniston hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Watanuki and Peniston have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Watanuki played 17 games more than Peniston. Watanuki scored 30 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 16 winners (29%).

Serve Performance

Serve Watanuki Peniston
Aces 6 1
Avg per match 6 1
1st in 40/96 20/35
%1st in 42% 57%
1st pts 30/40 16/20
%1st pts 75% 80%
2nd pts 28/56 12/15
%2nd pts 50% 80%

Watanuki made 6 aces . Peniston scored 1 ace . Watanuki won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Peniston won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Watanuki Peniston
Won 2 3
Converted 2/10 3/8
% Converted 20% 38%
Conceded 8 1
Saved 5 1
% Saved 63% 100%
Times Broken 3 0

The Japanese broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Yousuke dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Ryan broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Watanuki
R1
Zhou
Total
Score 1-6 7-63 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 98-107 98-107
Total points 205 205
Winners 30 30
%Winners 31% 31%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 10 10
1st in 40/96 40/96
% 1st in 42% 42%
1st pts 30/40 30/40
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 28/56 28/56
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/10 2/10
Converted % 20% 20%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 5/8 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 3
Peniston
R1
McCabe
Total
Score 6-2 3-2 ret.
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 13 13
pts 55-34 55-34
Total points 89 89
Winners 16 16
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 20/35 20/35
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 16/20 16/20
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 12/15 12/15
% 2nd pts 80% 80%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Wuxi Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw