Yosuke Watanuki and Ryan Peniston will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Wuxi Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.52
Ryan Peniston -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. Ryan Peniston
There is no head to head record between Yosuke Watanuki and Ryan Peniston since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-24 | 18-18 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 189, Yousuke got to the 2nd round after defeating Yi Zhou 1-6 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 1st round against Zhou, Watanuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-63 6-4).During the match, Watanuki scored less points (9) than Zhou. In fact, the world no. 189 won 98 points vs Zhou’s. That means that Watanuki was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Watanuki bagged 6 aces and he was not very steady on his 2nd serve to score 10 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Watanuki put 42% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (28/56) on the 2nd serve. Watanuki broke Zhou twice after converting 20% of his break points (2/10).
Watanuki has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (239-152). 13-8 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Watanuki has an overall 152-87 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Gwangju Challenger.
Yousuke has a compiled 14-9 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Wuxi Challenger
Yousuke has never competed in this tournament before.
Ryan Peniston
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 53-23 | 45-15 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-24 | 27-16 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-29 | 20-12 | 1-8 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-26 | 4-8 | 5-4 | 13-9 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-23 | 25-9 | 12-4 | 9-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 310, the Brit got to the 2nd round after defeating James McCabe 6-2 3-2 ret..
In the 1st round against McCabe, Ryan had a free pass after McCabe retired on a 6-2 3-2 . scoreline.
The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sunderland,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio and M25 Loule.
The Brit has an aggregate 24-8 win-loss record in 2025, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Watanuki | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 13 |
| Pts | 98-107 | 55-34 |
| Total Points | 205 | 89 |
| Winners | 30 | 16 |
| %Winners | 31% | 29% |
Both Watanuki and Peniston played 1 match. At the moment, Yosuke Watanuki surrendered 1 set while Ryan Peniston hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Watanuki and Peniston have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Watanuki played 17 games more than Peniston. Watanuki scored 30 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 16 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Watanuki | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 1 |
| 1st in | 40/96 | 20/35 |
| %1st in | 42% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 16/20 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 12/15 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 80% |
Watanuki made 6 aces . Peniston scored 1 ace . Watanuki won 75% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Peniston won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 80% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Watanuki | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/10 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 20% | 38% |
| Conceded | 8 | 1 |
| Saved | 5 | 1 |
| % Saved | 63% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Japanese broke his opponent twice with a 20% conversion rate. Yousuke dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Ryan broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Watanuki | |||
| R1 Zhou | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 98-107 | 98-107 | |
| Total points | 205 | 205 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 10 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 40/96 | 40/96 | |
| % 1st in | 42% | 42% | |
| 1st pts | 30/40 | 30/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/56 | 28/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/10 | 2/10 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 20% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Peniston | |||
| R1 McCabe | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 3-2 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 55-34 | 55-34 | |
| Total points | 89 | 89 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 29% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 20/35 | 20/35 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 16/20 | 16/20 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 12/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 80% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Wuxi Challenger
- Zhe LiLi – Shintaro ImaiImai (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Evan ZhuZhu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Ilia SimakinSimakin – Rigele TeTe (7-5 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – James McCabeMcCabe (6-2 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Fajing SunSun – Li TuTu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-2 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Yi ZhouZhou (1-6 7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Tung-Lin WuWu – Christian LangmoLangmo (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Andre IlaganIlagan – Adam WaltonWalton (6-4 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Ilia SimakinSimakin – Rigele TeTe (7-5 3-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Zhe LiLi – Shintaro ImaiImai (6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Evan ZhuZhu (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jie CuiCui – Moerani BouzigeBouzige (7-5 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Constant LestienneLestienne – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Omar JasikaJasika – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (1-5) – H2H and prediction
- Ilya IvashkaIvashka – Terence AtmaneAtmane (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Ryan PenistonPeniston (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Fajing SunSun – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Zhe LiLi (0-1) – H2H and prediction