Otto Virtanen and Federico Arnaboldi will face off in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:00 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Arnaboldi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Federico Arnaboldi is the pick to win this match.
Federico Arnaboldi -> 1.76
Otto Virtanen -> 1.97

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Prediction and head to head Otto Virtanen vs. Federico Arnaboldi

There is no head to head record between Otto Virtanen and Federico Arnaboldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Otto Virtanen

Ranked no. 130, the Finn reached the qualifications after defeating Tristan Boyer 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Finn defeated Boyer (7-6³ 4-6 6-3). During the match, Virtanen scored 114 points vs Boyer’s 104. Virtanen was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Virtanen struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Otto Virtanen lost the serve 3 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Virtanen put 58% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the 2nd serve. Virtanen broke Boyer 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).

Virtanen has a winning match record in the last 9 years having won 58% of his matches (210-149). 2-5 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Virtanen has an overall46-54 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Otto has a compiled 5-13 win-loss record in 2025, 2-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Federico Arnaboldi

Ranked no. 194 (career-high), Federico reached the qualifications after defeating Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-3.

In the qualifications, Arnaboldi defeated Moura Monteiro (7-6⁵ 6-7⁵ 6-3). During the match Arnaboldi scored 124 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 107. Federico was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Talking about serving, Arnaboldi struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Arnaboldi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Arnaboldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 68% (52/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (25/45) on the 2nd serve. Arnaboldi broke Moura Monteiro 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Federico has a composed 9-10 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Virtanen	Arnaboldi
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	35
Pts	114-104	124-107
Total Points	218	231
Winners	43	52
%Winners	38%	42%

Both Virtanen and Arnaboldi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Otto Virtanen conceded 1 set, while Federico Arnaboldi surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Virtanen and Arnaboldi have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Virtanen played 3 games less than Arnaboldi. The Finn scored 43 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Federico blasted 52 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Virtanen	Arnaboldi
Aces	4	10
Avg per match	4	10
1st in	62/106	77/122
%1st in	58%	63%
1st pts	43/62	52/77
%1st pts	69%	68%
2nd pts	26/44	25/45
%2nd pts	59%	56%

Virtanen struck 4 aces . Arnaboldi bagged 10 aces . Virtanen won 69% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Arnaboldi won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Virtanen	Arnaboldi
Won	3	5
Converted	3/11	5/7
% Converted	27%	71%
Conceded	5	17
Saved	2	13
% Saved	40%	76%
Times Broken	3	4

Otto broke his opponent 3 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Finn surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded. Arnaboldi broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Federico conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Virtanen
	Q1 Boyer	Total
Score	7-63 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	32	32
pts	114-104	114-104
Total points	218	218
Winners	43	43
%Winners	38%	38%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	4	4
1st in	62/106	62/106
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	43/62	43/62
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	26/44	26/44
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/11	3/11
Converted %	27%	27%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	2/5	2
Saved %	40%	40%
Times Broken	3	3

Arnaboldi
	Q1 Moura Monteiro	Total
Score	7-65 6-75 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	35	35
pts	124-107	124-107
Total points	231	231
Winners	52	52
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	77/122	77/122
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	52/77	52/77
% 1st pts	68%	68%
2nd pts	25/45	25/45
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/7	5/7
Converted %	71%	71%
Conceded	17	17
Saved	13/17	13
Saved %	76%	76%
Times Broken	4	4

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