Pablo Carreno-Busta and Roman Andres Burruchaga will square off in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 10:00 am on GRAND STAND ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.47
Roman Andres Burruchaga -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Pablo Carreno-Busta vs. Roman Andres Burruchaga

There is no head to head record between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Roman Andres Burruchaga since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Ranked no. 98, Carreno-Busta got to the qualifications after beating Thiago Agustin Tirante 7-6(5) 2-1 ret..

In the qualifications against Agustin Tirante, Pablo had a free pass after Agustin Tirante retired on a 7-6⁵ 2-1 . scoreline.

Carreno-Busta has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (271-180). 6-6 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carreno-Busta has an overall 101-65 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he defeated Alejandro Moro Canas in the final 6-3 6-2 and the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Filip Misolic in the final 6-3 6-2.

Carreno-Busta has an overall 20-12 win-loss record in 2025, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Ranked no. 135, Andres got to the qualifications after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-4 2-6 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Argentine defeated Elahi Galan Riveros (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match Andres scored 91 points vs Elahi Galan Riveros’s 89. The Argentine was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Andres was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Roman Andres Burruchaga lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Andres put 61% of his first serves in, winning 51% (28/55) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the 2nd serve. Andres broke Elahi Galan Riveros 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Facundo Mena in the final 7-6(8) 6-7(6) 7-6(4).

Andres has a compiled 21-15 win-loss record in 2025, 19-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Carreno-Busta	Andres
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	16	27
Pts	67-60	91-89
Total Points	127	180
Winners	19	28
%Winners	28%	31%

Both Carreno-Busta and Andres played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Roman Andres Burruchaga conceded 1 set while Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn’t lost a set so far. Talking about their workload, Carreno-Busta and Andres have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Carreno-Busta played 11 games less than Andres. The Spaniard scored 19 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Andres made 28 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Carreno-Busta	Andres
Aces	1	0
Avg per match	1	0
1st in	29/52	55/90
%1st in	56%	61%
1st pts	19/29	28/55
%1st pts	66%	51%
2nd pts	14/23	23/35
%2nd pts	61%	66%

Carreno-Busta scored 1 ace . Andres didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Carreno-Busta won 66% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Andres won 51% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 66% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Carreno-Busta	Andres
Won	2	5
Converted	2/4	5/9
% Converted	50%	56%
Conceded	3	9
Saved	2	5
% Saved	67%	56%
Times Broken	1	4

The Spaniard broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Pablo conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Andres broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.

Carreno-Busta
	Q1 Agustin	Q1 Agustin	Total
Score	7-65 2-1 ret.	7-65 2-1 ret.
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	16	16	32
pts	67-60	67-60	134-120
Total points	127	127	254
Winners	19	19	38
%Winners	28%	28%	28%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	29/52	29/52	58/104
% 1st in	56%	56%	56%
1st pts	19/29	19/29	38/58
% 1st pts	66%	66%	66%
2nd pts	14/23	14/23	28/46
% 2nd pts	61%	61%	61%
Breaks
Won	2	2	4
Converted	2/4	2/4	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%	50%
Conceded	3	3	6
Saved	2/3	2/3	4
Saved %	67%	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Andres
	Q1 Elahi Galan Riveros	Total
Score	6-4 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	27	27
pts	91-89	91-89
Total points	180	180
Winners	28	28
%Winners	31%	31%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	55/90	55/90
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	28/55	28/55
% 1st pts	51%	51%
2nd pts	23/35	23/35
% 2nd pts	66%	66%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/9	5/9
Converted %	56%	56%
Conceded	9	9
Saved	5/9	5
Saved %	56%	28%
Times Broken	4	4

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