Maria Sakkari and Maja Chwalinska will face off in the qualifications of the Internazionali BNL d’Italia for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 10:00 am on PIETRANGELI. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.15
Maja Chwalinska -> 4.85

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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Maja Chwalinska

There is no head to head record between Maria Sakkari and Maja Chwalinska since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Maria Sakkari

Maria Sakkari

11 - 14win/loss

Hard
5-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
5-3
Rank
52
High
3
LWWLLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 14-19 7-5 1-1 3-4 0-0
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 81, the Greek reached the qualifications after beating Chloe Paquet 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the qualifications against Paquet, Maria recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Sakkari scored 101 points vs Paquet’s 89. Sakkari was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sakkari blasted 5 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 65% of her first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Paquet 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Sakkari has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (301-215). 5-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has an overall 90-55 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Maria has an aggregate 11-14 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Rome
Sakkari's Record

Maja Chwalinska

Maja Chwalinska

9 - 10win/loss

Hard
3-1
I Hard
1-2
Clay
4-6
Carpet
1-1
Rank
133
High
121
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-19 4-2 21-13 1-2 0-1 1-1
2024 48-21 12-6 27-10 7-4 0-0 2-1
2023 23-19 8-6 12-10 2-1 1-2 0-0
2022 40-15 13-5 16-6 5-2 6-2 0-0
2021 10-11 3-3 1-2 4-4 0-1 2-1

Ranked no. 124, Maja reached the qualifications after defeating Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-7(6) 7-5 6-1.

In the qualifications against Starodubtseva, Maja recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 7-5 6-1). During the match Chwalinska scored 124 points vs Starodubtseva’s 104. The Pole was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about serving, Chwalinska bagged 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Maja Chwalinska lost the serve 5 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Chwalinska put 71% of her first serves in, winning 54% (42/78) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Starodubtseva 9 times after converting 60% of her break points (9/15).

The Pole’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Antalya.

Chwalinska has an aggregate 9-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rome

Chwalinska has never competed in this tournament before.

Rome
Chwalinska's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Sakkari
M.Chwalinska
2h:23
2h:23
Time on court​
3h:15
3h:15
!
2h:23
2h:23
Last match​
!
3h:15
3h:15
1
1
Match played
1
1
27
27
Games Played​
32
32
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
101
101
Total points​
124
124
101
101
Avg point​
124
124
43
43
Winners
42
42
43
43
Avg Winners​
42
42
43%
43%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
5
5
Avg Aces
3
3
7
7
Double Faults
3
3
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
3
3
43/63
43/63
1st won total​
42/78
42/78
68%
68%
1st won %
54%
54%
16/34
16/34
2nd won total​
20/32
20/32
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
5/13
5/13
BP won
9/15
9/15
5/13
5/13
Avg BP won
9/15
9/15
38%
38%
Won
!
60%
60%
13
13
Conceded
15
15
13
13
Avg Conceded
15
15
3
3
Broken
5
5
3
3
Avg Broken
!
5
5
10
10
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sakkari Chwalinska
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 32
Pts 101-89 124-104
Total Points 190 228
Winners 43 42
%Winners 43% 34%

Both Sakkari and Chwalinska played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Maria Sakkari dropped 1 set, while Maja Chwalinska conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Chwalinska have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Sakkari played 5 games less than Chwalinska. Sakkari scored 43 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Maja scored 42 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sakkari Chwalinska
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 5 3
1st in 63/97 78/110
%1st in 65% 71%
1st pts 43/63 42/78
%1st pts 68% 54%
2nd pts 16/34 20/32
%2nd pts 47% 63%

Sakkari struck 5 aces . Chwalinska bagged 3 aces . Sakkari won 68% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Chwalinska won 54% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sakkari Chwalinska
Won 5 9
Converted 5/13 9/15
% Converted 38% 60%
Conceded 13 15
Saved 10 10
% Saved 77% 67%
Times Broken 3 5

The Greek broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded. Chwalinska broke her opponent 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Chwalinska conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Sakkari
Q1
Paquet
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 101-89 101-89
Total points 190 190
Winners 43 43
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 63/97 63/97
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 43/63 43/63
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 16/34 16/34
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/13 5/13
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 10/13 10
Saved % 77% 77%
Times Broken 3 3
Chwalinska
Q1
Starodubtseva
Total
Score 6-76 7-5 6-1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 124-104 124-104
Total points 228 228
Winners 42 42
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 78/110 78/110
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 42/78 42/78
% 1st pts 54% 54%
2nd pts 20/32 20/32
% 2nd pts 63% 63%
Breaks
Won 9 9
Converted 9/15 9/15
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 15 15
Saved 10/15 10
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 5 5

Tennis Scores in Rome

Upcoming matches in the draw