Jacopo Berrettini and Luca Potenza will play each other in the qualifications of the Francavilla Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacopo Berrettini who should win in 2 sets.
Jacopo Berrettini -> 1.39
Luca Potenza -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Jacopo Berrettini vs. Luca Potenza
This will be the 3rd time that Jacopo Berrettini and Luca Potenza fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Berrettini and Potenza (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Berrettini won 7-6(4) 4-6 6-1 in the 1st round in M15 Monastir back in 2024.
Jacopo Berrettini
7 - 10win/loss
298
298
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 8-6 | 33-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-26 | 3-7 | 29-17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-14 | 8-8 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 9-12 | 5-4 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-27 | 6-5 | 17-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 331, Berrettini got to the qualifications after defeating Adil Kalyanpur 6-0 6-1.
In the qualifications, Berrettini had a good straight sets win against Kalyanpur (6-0 6-1). During the match, Berrettini scored 54 points vs Kalyanpur’s 25. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Berrettini couldn’t to score even 1 ace during the match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Jacopo Berrettini was very effective on serve to win 81% (17/21) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Kalyanpur 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Berrettini has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (209-180). 4-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has a composed 128-106 match record in the last years on clay.
The Italian has a compiled 7-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
Luca Potenza
25 - 10win/loss
364
357
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-31 | 53-25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-17 | 14-7 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-28 | 6-9 | 13-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-26 | 10-9 | 13-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-25 | 27-13 | 6-7 | 6-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 564, Luca reached the qualifications after defeating Ivan Liutarevich 6-3 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Liutarevich (6-3 7-5). During the match Potenza scored 65 points vs Liutarevich’s 50. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Potenza fired 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Luca Potenza was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 75% (15/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Potenza broke Liutarevich twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
The Italian has an aggregate 25-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Francavilla Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Berrettini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 13 | 21 |
| Pts | 54-25 | 65-50 |
| Total Points | 79 | 115 |
| Winners | 17 | 29 |
| %Winners | 31% | 45% |
Both Berrettini and Potenza played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Berrettini and Potenza have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Berrettini played 8 games less than Potenza. Jacopo scored 17 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 29 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Berrettini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 3 |
| 1st in | 21/33 | 36/56 |
| %1st in | 64% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 29/36 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 15/20 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 75% |
Berrettini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Potenza struck 3 aces . Berrettini won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Potenza won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 75% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Berrettini | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 2 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 75% | 40% |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Italian broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 1 break points. Luca broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Luca was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Berrettini | |||
| Q1 Kalyanpur | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 54-25 | 54-25 | |
| Total points | 79 | 79 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 21/33 | 21/33 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 17/21 | 17/21 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 8/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Potenza | |||
| Q1 Liutarevich | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 65-50 | 65-50 | |
| Total points | 115 | 115 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 36/56 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 15/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Mathys ErhardErhard – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Giovanni FonioFonio (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clement ChidekhChidekh – Valentin VacherotVacherot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction