Jack Draper and Casper Ruud will play each other in the final of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.54
Casper Ruud -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Casper Ruud
There is no head to head record between Jack Draper and Casper Ruud since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-7 | 13-3 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 6 (career-high), Draper got to the final after defeating Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-4, Matteo Berrettini 7-6(2) ret., Tommy Paul 6-2 6-2, Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 7-6(4).
In the semifinal, Jack had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 7-64). During the match, Draper scored 78 points vs Musetti’s 68. Draper was very aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draper managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jack Draper was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (38/49) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jack broke Musetti twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jack hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (245-108). 6-1 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Draper has an aggregate30-20 record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Indian Wells where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 6-2 6-2.
Draper has a composed 19-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Casper Ruud
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-8 | 6-3 | 13-4 | 6-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-25 | 21-9 | 24-7 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-23 | 12-12 | 22-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-22 | 18-8 | 25-7 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 57-17 | 16-6 | 28-5 | 11-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 15, Casper got to the final after defeating Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4, Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-3, Taylor Fritz 7-5 6-4, Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-5 and Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 7-5.
In the semifinal, Casper had a good straight sets win against Cerundolo (6-4 7-5). During the match Ruud and Cerundolo scored the same amount of points (75). However, the world no. 6 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Norwegian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Ruud blasted 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 3 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 67% of his first serves in, winning 63% (36/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Cerundolo 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Norwegian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
The Norwegian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Dallas.
Ruud has a compiled 20-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 102 |
| Pts | 303-225 | 340-296 |
| Total Points | 528 | 636 |
| Winners | 123 | 157 |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% |
Both Draper and Ruud played 5 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Draper and Ruud have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Draper played 16 games less than Ruud. The Brit scored 123 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Norwegian fired 157 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 14 |
| Avg per match | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 1st in | 156/251 | 220/331 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 123/156 | 157/220 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 63/95 | 62/111 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 56% |
Draper recorded 19 aces (3.8 per match). Ruud managed to score 14 aces (2.8 per match). Draper won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Ruud won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 17 |
| Converted | 13/32 | 17/35 |
| % Converted | 41% | 49% |
| Conceded | 6 | 30 |
| Saved | 4 | 24 |
| % Saved | 67% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Draper broke his opponents 13 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Norwegian broke his opponents 17 times with a 49% conversion rate. Casper conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | |||||||
| R2 Griekspoor |
R3 Berrettini |
R4 Paul |
1/4 Arnaldi |
1/2 Musetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 ret. | 6-2 6-2 | 6-0 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 22 | 86 | |
| pts | 58-45 | 46-38 | 60-35 | 61-39 | 78-68 | 303-225 | |
| Total points | 103 | 84 | 95 | 100 | 146 | 528 | |
| Winners | 23 | 22 | 18 | 22 | 38 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% | 30% | 36% | 49% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 30/41 | 21/41 | 29/43 | 49/73 | 156/251 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 73% | 51% | 67% | 67% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 22/30 | 18/21 | 22/29 | 38/49 | 123/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 73% | 86% | 76% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/26 | 6/11 | 14/20 | 11/14 | 14/24 | 63/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 55% | 70% | 79% | 58% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 1/6 | 4/6 | 4/10 | 2/6 | 13/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 17% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 2/3 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | – | – | 67% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ruud | |||||||
| R2 Rinderknech |
R3 Korda |
R4 Fritz |
1/4 Medvedev |
1/2 Cerundolo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 102 | |
| pts | 56-46 | 62-48 | 71-63 | 76-64 | 75-75 | 340-296 | |
| Total points | 102 | 110 | 134 | 140 | 150 | 636 | |
| Winners | 28 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 36 | 157 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 47% | 46% | 41% | 48% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/54 | 40/58 | 45/72 | 41/62 | 57/85 | 220/331 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | 63% | 66% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 29/40 | 33/45 | 31/41 | 36/57 | 157/220 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 73% | 73% | 76% | 63% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/17 | 10/18 | 15/27 | 14/21 | 12/28 | 62/111 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 56% | 56% | 67% | 43% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/8 | 3/7 | 2/8 | 5/9 | 17/35 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 43% | 25% | 56% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 30 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/5 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 15/18 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 80% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWLW
LWLWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Casper RuudRuud – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
