Alex Michelsen and Miomir Kecmanovic will play each other in the semifinal of the Estoril Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:30 pm on ESTADIO MILLENNIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Miomir Kecmanovic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Miomir Kecmanovic is the pick to win this match.
Miomir Kecmanovic -> 1.53
Alex Michelsen -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Miomir Kecmanovic
This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Miomir Kecmanovic fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kecmanovic (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Kecmanovic won 7-6(3) 6-3 in the semifinal in Delray beach back in February 2025.
Highlights Miomir Kecmanovic vs Alex Michelsen – Delray beach 15-February-2025
Alex Michelsen
16 - 10win/loss
33
32
LLWWWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 6-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, Michelsen reached the semifinal after beating Giovanni Fonio 6-4 7-6(3) and Luca Nardi 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, Michelsen had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-3 6-4). During the match, Michelsen scored 67 points vs Nardi’s 53. Michelsen was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Michelsen recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (29/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Nardi 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Michelsen hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Michelsen has a solid win-loss record in the last 4 years having won 64% of his matches (144-81). 4-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Michelsen has a composed12-15 record in the last 4 years on clay.
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Alex has an overall 15-10 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Estoril Challenger
Michelsen has never competed in this tournament before.
Miomir Kecmanovic
17 - 13win/loss
46
27
LLLWWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-15 | 12-7 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-31 | 10-15 | 6-7 | 6-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-31 | 11-13 | 9-9 | 6-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 21-11 | 15-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-27 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, the Serbian reached the semifinal after defeating Jan-Lennard Struff 6-1 7-5, Denis Yevseyev 6-1 3-6 7-5 and Nuno Borges 6-0 6-7(5) 6-4.
In the quarter, Miomir defeated Borges (6-0 6-75 6-4). During the match Kecmanovic scored 111 points vs Borges’s 96. The Serbian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Kecmanovic made 4 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Miomir Kecmanovic lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kecmanovic put 56% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the 2nd serve. The Serbian broke Borges 6 times after converting 40% of his break points (6/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Miomir has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the final 3-6 6-1 7-5.
Kecmanovic has an aggregate 17-12 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 42 | 76 |
| Pts | 149-123 | 272-226 |
| Total Points | 272 | 498 |
| Winners | 66 | 97 |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% |
Michelsen played 2 matches while Kecmanovic competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Miomir Kecmanovic conceded 2 sets while Alex Michelsen hasn’t lost a set so far. Michelsen has played 4 set(s) less than Kecmanovic (4 vs 8). Therefore, Michelsen played 34 games less than Kecmanovic. Alex scored 66 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Kecmanovic bagged 97 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 92/137 | 132/232 |
| %1st in | 67% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 66/92 | 97/132 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 30/45 | 54/100 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 54% |
Michelsen bagged 8 aces (4 per match). Kecmanovic made 8 aces (2.7 per match). Michelsen won 72% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Kecmanovic won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | Kecmanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 15 |
| Converted | 5/13 | 15/35 |
| % Converted | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded | 7 | 14 |
| Saved | 5 | 8 |
| % Saved | 71% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 |
Michelsen broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Michelsen conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Miomir broke his opponents 15 times with a 43% conversion rate. Kecmanovic conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | ||||
| R2 Fonio |
1/4 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-63 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 19 | 42 | |
| pts | 82-70 | 67-53 | 149-123 | |
| Total points | 152 | 120 | 272 | |
| Winners | 37 | 29 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 50/75 | 42/62 | 92/137 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 37/50 | 29/42 | 66/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 13/20 | 30/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 65% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/6 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Kecmanovic | |||||
| R1 Struff |
R2 Yevseyev |
1/4 Borges |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | 6-1 3-6 7-5 | 6-0 6-75 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 29 | 76 | |
| pts | 68-49 | 93-81 | 111-96 | 272-226 | |
| Total points | 117 | 174 | 207 | 498 | |
| Winners | 28 | 36 | 33 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 30% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/61 | 48/81 | 50/90 | 132/232 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 59% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 28/34 | 36/48 | 33/50 | 97/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 75% | 66% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 16/33 | 24/40 | 54/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 48% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/13 | 6/15 | 15/35 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 38% | 40% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 3/6 | 3/5 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 60% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLLWW
LLLWWWLLWL Tennis Scores in Estoril Challenger
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-60 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-0 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Jakob Schnaitter/Mark WallnerSchnaitter/Mark Wallner – Denis Yevseyev/Beibit ZhukayevYevseyev/Beibit Zhukayev (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Francisco Cabral/Lucas MiedlerCabral/Lucas Miedler – Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski (6-1 3-6 10-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-0 6-7(5) 6-4) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
