Aleksandar Vukic and Andrea Pellegrino will play each other in the semifinal of the Estoril Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on ESTADIO MILLENNIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Vukic who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Vukic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Vukic -> 1.83
Andrea Pellegrino -> 1.89

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Vukic vs. Andrea Pellegrino

There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Vukic and Andrea Pellegrino since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Aleksandar Vukic

Ranked no. 83, Aleksandar reached the semifinal after beating Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 6-3 2-6 6-0, Marcos Giron 6-3 6-1 and Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-1 6-1.

In the quarter, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-1 6-1). During the match, Vukic scored 54 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 23. Aleksandar was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Vukic managed to score 6 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Aleksandar Vukic was extremely efficient on serve to win 91% (20/22) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aleksandar broke Zapata Miralles 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Vukic has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (261-215). 3-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Vukic has an overall 57-54 record in the last years on clay.

Vukic has an aggregate 7-13 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Estoril Challenger

Vukic has never competed in this tournament before.

Andrea Pellegrino

Ranked no. 237, the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Joao Graca 6-3 6-2, Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-5 6-0, Dusan Lajovic 7-5 6-7(2) 6-3, Felix Auger-Aliassime 7-5 6-4 and Nicolas Jarry 7-6(0) 5-7 6-1.

In the quarter, Andrea defeated Jarry (7-6⁰ 5-7 6-1). During the match Pellegrino scored 103 points vs Jarry’s 92. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Pellegrino recorded 3 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 69% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (18/33) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Jarry 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Pellegrino’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Naples Challenger.

Andrea has a composed 17-8 win-loss record in 2025, 17-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Vukic	Pellegrino
Match played	3	5
Tot Set	7	12
Tot Games	53	123
Pts	208-147	412-340
Total Points	355	752
Winners	76	171
%Winners	37%	42%

Vukic played 3 matches while Pellegrino competed in 5 matches. Pellegrino started his run from the qualifications while Vukic had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Aleksandar Vukic surrendered 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino conceded 2 sets. Vukic has played 5 set(s) less than Pellegrino (7 vs 12). Therefore, Vukic played 70 games less than Pellegrino. Vukic scored 76 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Andrea fired 171 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Vukic	Pellegrino
Aces	13	14
Avg per match	4.3	2.8
1st in	98/185	254/385
%1st in	53%	66%
1st pts	76/98	171/254
%1st pts	78%	67%
2nd pts	44/87	76/131
%2nd pts	51%	58%

Vukic recorded 13 aces (4.3 per match). Pellegrino fired 14 aces (2.8 per match). Vukic won 78% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Vukic	Pellegrino
Won	14	25
Converted	14/26	25/46
% Converted	54%	54%
Conceded	11	29
Saved	8	16
% Saved	73%	55%
Times Broken	3	13

Vukic broke his opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Australian dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 25 times with a 54% conversion rate. Andrea conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Vukic
	R1 Moreno De Alboran	R2 Giron	1/4 Zapata Miralles	Total
Score	6-3 2-6 6-0	6-3 6-1	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	2	7
Tot Games	23	16	14	53
pts	85-75	69-49	54-23	208-147
Total points	160	118	77	355
Winners	34	22	20	76
%Winners	40%	32%	37%	37%
SERVE
Aces	7	0	6	13
Double Faults	4	0	0	4
1st in	46/99	30/51	22/35	98/185
% 1st in	46%	59%	63%	53%
1st pts	34/46	22/30	20/22	76/98
% 1st pts	74%	73%	91%	78%
2nd pts	26/53	10/21	8/13	44/87
% 2nd pts	49%	48%	62%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	14
Converted	4/7	5/11	5/8	14/26
Converted %	57%	45%	63%	54%
Conceded	9	2	0	11
Saved	7/9	1/2	0/0	8
Saved %	78%	50%	–	43%
Times Broken	2	1	0	3

Pellegrino
	Q1 Graca	Q3 Zapata Miralles	R1 Lajovic	R2 Auger-Aliassime	1/4 Jarry	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	7-5 6-0	7-5 6-72 6-3	7-5 6-4	7-60 5-7 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	12
Tot Games	17	18	34	22	32	123
pts	60-36	66-46	107-98	76-68	103-92	412-340
Total points	96	112	205	144	195	752
Winners	25	23	41	32	50	171
%Winners	42%	35%	38%	42%	49%	42%
SERVE
Aces	6	1	2	2	3	14
Double Faults	2	1	2	2	7	14
1st in	31/47	35/49	67/103	47/79	74/107	254/385
% 1st in	66%	71%	65%	59%	69%	66%
1st pts	25/31	23/35	41/67	32/47	50/74	171/254
% 1st pts	81%	66%	61%	68%	68%	67%
2nd pts	10/16	7/14	23/36	18/32	18/33	76/131
% 2nd pts	63%	50%	64%	56%	55%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	7	6	4	4	25
Converted	4/7	7/13	6/12	4/7	4/7	25/46
Converted %	57%	54%	50%	57%	57%	54%
Conceded	1	5	10	6	7	29
Saved	0/1	2/5	6/10	4/6	4/7	16
Saved %	0%	40%	60%	67%	57%	75%
Times Broken	1	3	4	2	3	13

Tennis Scores in Estoril Challenger

• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-0 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6⁰ 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-6(0) 5-7 6-1) – See score progression
• Aleksandar VukicVukic – Bernabe Zapata MirallesZapata Miralles (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Nuno BorgesBorges (6-0 6-7(5) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Aleksandar VukicVukic (0-0) – H2H and prediction