Tristan Schoolkate and Alibek Kachmazov will face off in the semifinal of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.59
Alibek Kachmazov -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Alibek Kachmazov

There is no head to head record between Tristan Schoolkate and Alibek Kachmazov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tristan Schoolkate

Ranked no. 122, Schoolkate got to the semifinal after defeating Ryan Peniston 6-4 4-6 6-4, Sho Shimabukuro 6-2 ret. and Hugo Grenier 6-4 6-4.

In the quarter, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Grenier (6-4 6-4). During the match, Schoolkate scored 70 points vs Grenier’s 59. Tristan was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Schoolkate recorded 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tristan Schoolkate was very efficient on serve to win 79% (31/39) of his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tristan broke Grenier 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Schoolkate has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Schoolkate has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (191-133). 21-12 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Schoolkate has an overall131-91 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he beat Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4).

Schoolkate has a compiled 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 21-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Alibek Kachmazov

Ranked no. 185, Alibek reached the semifinal after defeating Fajing Sun 6-4 7-6(5), Adam Walton 4-6 7-6(2) 6-2 and James McCabe 7-6(5) 6-4.

In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against McCabe (7-6⁵ 6-4). During the match Kachmazov scored 77 points vs McCabe’s 67. Kachmazov was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about serving, Kachmazov blasted 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alibek Kachmazov was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 65% (22/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Kachmazov broke McCabe 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kachmazov has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Alibek’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Gwangju Challenger.

The Russian has an aggregate 14-11 win-loss record in 2025, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Schoolkate	Kachmazov
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	7
Tot Games	58	77
Pts	204-172	277-244
Total Points	376	521
Winners	88	105
%Winners	43%	38%

Both Schoolkate and Kachmazov played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tristan Schoolkate conceded 1 set, while Alibek Kachmazov conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Schoolkate and Kachmazov have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Schoolkate played 19 games less than Kachmazov. Tristan scored 88 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 105 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Schoolkate	Kachmazov
Aces	19	30
Avg per match	6.3	10
1st in	112/183	133/266
%1st in	61%	50%
1st pts	88/112	105/133
%1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	33/71	70/133
%2nd pts	46%	53%

Schoolkate scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Kachmazov bagged 30 aces (10 per match). Schoolkate won 79% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Schoolkate	Kachmazov
Won	10	9
Converted	10/29	9/24
% Converted	34%	38%
Conceded	18	20
Saved	13	14
% Saved	72%	70%
Times Broken	5	6

Tristan broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. Schoolkate conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponents 9 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Schoolkate
	R1 Peniston	R2 Shimabukuro	1/4 Grenier	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-4	6-2 ret.	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	1	2	6
Tot Games	30	8	20	58
pts	102-95	32-18	70-59	204-172
Total points	197	50	129	376
Winners	42	15	31	88
%Winners	41%	47%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	4	7	19
Double Faults	8	1	3	12
1st in	55/88	18/27	39/68	112/183
% 1st in	63%	67%	57%	61%
1st pts	42/55	15/18	31/39	88/112
% 1st pts	76%	83%	79%	79%
2nd pts	13/33	5/9	15/29	33/71
% 2nd pts	39%	56%	52%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	2	3	10
Converted	5/19	2/5	3/5	10/29
Converted %	26%	40%	60%	34%
Conceded	10	0	8	18
Saved	6/10	0/0	7/8	13
Saved %	60%	–	88%	49%
Times Broken	4	0	1	5

Kachmazov
	R1 Sun	R2 Walton	1/4 McCabe	Total
Score	6-4 7-65	4-6 7-62 6-2	7-65 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	23	31	23	77
pts	87-76	113-101	77-67	277-244
Total points	163	214	144	521
Winners	34	46	25	105
%Winners	39%	41%	32%	38%
SERVE
Aces	9	13	8	30
Double Faults	6	7	2	15
1st in	39/80	60/118	34/68	133/266
% 1st in	49%	51%	50%	50%
1st pts	34/39	46/60	25/34	105/133
% 1st pts	87%	77%	74%	79%
2nd pts	20/41	28/58	22/34	70/133
% 2nd pts	49%	48%	65%	53%
Breaks
Won	2	4	3	9
Converted	2/8	4/11	3/5	9/24
Converted %	25%	36%	60%	38%
Conceded	3	12	5	20
Saved	2/3	9/12	3/5	14
Saved %	67%	75%	60%	67%
Times Broken	1	3	2	6

Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger

• Brandon HoltHolt – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – James McCabeMcCabe (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Ilia SimakinSimakin (1-6 7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Ji Sung Nam/Takeru YuzukiSung Nam/Takeru Yuzuki – Blake Bayldon/Reese StalderBayldon/Reese Stalder (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Alibek KachmazovKachmazov – James McCabeMcCabe (7-6(5) 6-4) – See score progression
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Ilia SimakinSimakin (1-6 7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
• Brandon HoltHolt – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Brandon HoltHolt (1-4) – H2H and prediction